The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Miami 62%
Draw 20.6%
Sporting Jacksonville 17.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53.1%
23.8%
23.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.7%
19.6%
28.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Miami has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Miami's performance.
Sporting Jacksonville has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sporting Jacksonville might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miami than the current prediction. (-18.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Miami that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Jacksonville than the current prediction. (+10.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sporting Jacksonville could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Miami - Sporting Jacksonville Predictions
Users Predictions:
Miami will win
(5 of 5 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Rodriguez F. (G) 12. Ndiaye B. 14. Rogers A. 13. Knutson D. (C) 21. Milesi A. 22. Da Costa R. 8. Romero M. 9. Sonora J. 7. Tunbridge M. 24. Milanes Navarro C. D. 26. Rocha A.
1. McGuire J. (G) 13. Alvarado V. 15. Edwards R. (C) 21. Godinho M. 14. Jean Mota 8. Kuzain W. 6. Rossiter J. 24. Roberts T. 12. Rito E. 16. Jaaskelainen E. 10. Sadlier K.
Substitutes
45. Betancourt D. 4. Calfo A. 17. Levin J. 30. Medranda J. 37. Mello D. 23. Musto T. 41. Rodriguez J. (G) 6. Tulu 46. White J.
18. Ackwei W. 42. Casas E. (G) 9. Luckhurst A. 2. Neville H. 19. Pedder R. 99. Traore M. 27. Wilson D.
Coaches
Maddoni G.
Fox L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
9', Sonora J. ↓, Musto T. ↑,
29', Edwards R. 🟥,
30', Kuzain W. ↓, Ackwei W. ↑,
35', Ackwei W. 🟨,
38', 1 - 0, Rocha A. ⚽, Tunbridge M. (A),
42', 2 - 0, Milanes Navarro C. D. ⚽, Milesi A. (A),
43', 2 - 1, Jean Mota ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Godinho M. ↓, Neville H. ↑,
52', Neville H. 🟨,
66', Rossiter J. 🟨,
68', Alvarado V. ↓, Wilson D. ↑,
75', Rocha A. ↓, Mello D. ↑,
75', Ndiaye B. ↓, Tulu ↑,
80', 3 - 1, Tunbridge M. ⚽, Rogers A. (A),
80', Roberts T. ↓, Pedder R. ↑,
80', Sadlier K. ↓, Luckhurst A. ↑,
82', Milesi A. 🟨,
85', 4 - 1, Milanes Navarro C. D. ⚽, Romero M. (A),
85', Tunbridge M. ↓, Medranda J. ↑,
85', Rogers A. ↓, Levin J. ↑,
88', Jean Mota 🟨,
90+2', Neville H. ↓, Traore M. ↑,
Preview
Miami has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Sporting Jax has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Recently, Miami has faced a series of away games on the road.
Bookmakers give the edge to Miami for this game.
In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Miami has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:2 (averaging 2.5:1 goals per game).