Match Info

US Open Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 15 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: PayPal Park (San Jose, CA)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	CBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+


	San Jose Earthquakes		Phoenix Rising

	1	X	2
	1.37	5	4.75	Watch
				Watch
	1.46	4.75	5.9
	1.46	4.55	6.98
	1.43	4.63	5.81	Watch
	1.4	4	6
	1.44	5.47	5.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↑ (1.38)	4.73 ↓ (4.83)	5.77 ↓ (6.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Jose Earthquakes
64.6%

Draw
19.5%

Phoenix Rising
16%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.3%

18.9%

14.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.4%

18.3%

14.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Jose Earthquakes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Phoenix Rising has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Jose Earthquakes than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Phoenix Rising than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

San Jose Earthquakes - Phoenix Rising Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. San Jose will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
36. Edwards E. (G) 17. Jasinski J. 25. Floriani M. 4. Romney D. 3. Marie P. 40. Gonzalez Mendoza J. A. 6. Harkes I. 21. Buck N. 11. Werner T. (C) 20. Fernandez N. 32. Adimabua N.	1. Rakovsky P. (G) 91. Ramirez E. 24. Pelayo A. 17. JP Scearce (C) 6. Vukovic A. 87. Flores D. 22. Johnson D. 13. Moursou J. 8. Gomez D. 7. Sacko I. 10. Avayevu H.
Substitutes
7. Bouda O. 42. Daniel (G) 34. Leroux B. 5. Munie D. 18. Roberts R. 16. Skahan J. 10. Tsakiris N.	20. Biasi L. 45. Capetillo A. 12. Dennis C. 33. Gaydon J. 4. Mar Boye P. 14. Odunze C. (G) 11. Studenhofft G.
Coaches
Arena B.	Kah P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Fernandez N. ⚽, Werner T. (A),
13', Gonzalez Mendoza J. A. 🟨,
23', 2 - 0, Jasinski J. ⚽, Fernandez N. (A),
28', Marie P. 🟨,
37', Jasinski J. 🟨,
39', Gonzalez Mendoza J. A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Werner T. ↓, Leroux B. ↑,
46', Ramirez E. ↓, Dennis C. ↑,
46', Flores D. ↓, Biasi L. ↑,
46', Pelayo A. 🟨,
62', Buck N. ↓, Roberts R. ↑,
62', Adimabua N. ↓, Bouda O. ↑,
77', Pelayo A. ↓, Mar Boye P. ↑,
77', Marie P. ↓, Tsakiris N. ↑,
77', Floriani M. ↓, Skahan J. ↑,
84', Dennis C. 🟨,
90+1', Capetillo A. 🟨,

Preview

San Jose is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Phoenix Rising has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

San Jose may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, San Jose is the undisputed favorite.

We predict that San Jose will win today's game, with odds of 1.38.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Jose Earthquakes
MLS
11.04.26	Sporting Kansas City - San Jose Earthquakes	1:3 ✺
04.04.26	San Jose Earthquakes - San Diego	3:0 ✺
21.03.26	Vancouver Whitecaps - San Jose Earthquakes	0:1 ✺
15.03.26	San Jose Earthquakes - Seattle Sounders	0:1 ✺
07.03.26	Philadelphia Union - San Jose Earthquakes	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.2 WWWLW
- Phoenix Rising
USL Championship
11.04.26	Phoenix Rising - New Mexico United	3:0 ✺
04.04.26	Sacramento Republic - Phoenix Rising	2:0 ✺
US Open Cup
01.04.26	Orange County SC - Phoenix Rising	1:2 ET ✺
USL Championship
28.03.26	Tulsa - Phoenix Rising	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Phoenix Rising - Oakland Roots	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WLWTT

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