Match Info

Date: 9 September 2022, Friday

Location: MSU Soccer Park (New York)

Referee: Corrigan M. (Usa)


	New York Red Bulls 2		Miami

	1	X	2
	4.5	4.1	1.55	Watch
	5.1	3.9	1.52
	4.4	4	1.55
	5.43	4.03	1.58
	4.5	3.92	1.61	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.79 ↑ (3.86)	3.99 ↑ (3.62)	1.56 ↓ (1.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

New York Red Bulls 2
19%

Draw
22.8%

Miami
58.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.5%

25%

51.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.6%

25.1%

51.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

New York Red Bulls 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Miami has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Miami's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York Red Bulls 2 than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miami than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Miami, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	28.6%	57.1%

New York Red Bulls 2 - Miami Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. New York Red Bulls 2 will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Miami will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

New York Red Bulls 2 has the most likely position - 14 (87.64%), has project points - 18, has currently - 14, has not chance of playoffs.

Miami has the most likely position - 6 (43.21%), has project points - 54, has currently - 44, has a very good chance of playoffs (>99%), has a chance of qtrs (31%), has a small chance of semis (9%), has a very small chance of final (3%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).

This event has very small quality 7, very small importance 1, very small match rating 4. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

New York Red Bulls 2 is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Miami is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

New York Red Bulls 2 could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Miami is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches New York Red Bulls 2 won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 1-9.

Including matches at home between the teams New York Red Bulls 2 won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- New York Red Bulls 2
USL Championship
03.09.22	Charleston Battery - New York Red Bulls 2	3:0 ✺
31.08.22	New York Red Bulls 2 - Hartford Athletic	3:3 ✺
28.08.22	Birmingham Legion - New York Red Bulls 2	3:1 ✺
20.08.22	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - New York Red Bulls 2	2:2 ✺
12.08.22	New York Red Bulls 2 - Charleston Battery	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LTLTL
- Miami FC
USL Championship
03.09.22	Miami - Birmingham Legion	1:1 ✺
27.08.22	Miami - Louisville City	1:0 ✺
20.08.22	Hartford Athletic - Miami	0:2 ✺
13.08.22	Atlanta United II - Miami	0:2 ✺
10.08.22	Miami - Tulsa	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
12.03.22	Miami - New York Red Bulls 2	2:0
24.10.21	Miami - New York Red Bulls 2	2:0
29.08.21	Miami - New York Red Bulls 2	3:0
02.07.21	New York Red Bulls 2 - Miami	1:1
14.05.21	New York Red Bulls 2 - Miami	0:1

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