Match Info

Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 21

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio La Asuncion (Asuncion Mita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Guatemala	Azteca Guatemala


	Mictlán		Xelajú

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.25	3.6
	1.93	3.52	3.88
	2.06	3.39	3.46	Watch
	1.85	3.25	3.7
	1.9	3.63	3.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (1.97)	3.41 ↑ (3.08)	3.67 ↓ (3.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mictlán
47.8%

Draw
27.1%

Xelajú
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.2%

29.4%

24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

30.1%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mictlán has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Xelajú has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mictlán than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Xelajú than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	66.7%	33.3%

Mictlán - Xelajú Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Xelajú will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Faust J. (G) 88. Chinchilla C. 29. Fajardo W. 30. Folleco R. 3. Herrarte J. 24. Herrarte K. 34. Monges R. . Racancoj J. . Ramirez K. 44. Ramirez W. 19. Salguero O.	1. Silva D. (G) 52. Aparicio J. 23. Calderon R. 26. Cardoza E. 7. Diaz Y. 70. Jaen Y. 10. Lopez A. 20. Quezada Gamez H. E. 30. Romero M. 25. Ruiz K. 13. Tebalan W.
Substitutes
. Betancourth R. 80. Chavasco G. 23. Figueroa J. (G) 17. Grijalva M. 77. Lemus M. 5. Menendez B. 4. Meza P. 99. Rigoberto R. D. 7. Rodriguez J.	11. Cardenas S. 16. Cardona J. 18. Castaneda J. 6. de Leon M. 29. Escobar J. 22. Lobos N. (G) 77. Longo J. 24. Marquez R. 17. Ochaeta D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
10', Monges R. 🟨,
14', 0 - 1, Quezada Gamez H. E. ⚽,
17', 1 - 1, Racancoj J. ⚽,
22', Folleco R. 🟨,
27', Fajardo W. 🟨,
45', 2 - 1, Fajardo W. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
55', Chinchilla C. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
56', Jaen Y. ↓, Cardenas S. ↑,
60', 2 - 2, Quezada Gamez H. E. ⚽,
63', Cardoza E. 🟨,
69', Cardoza E. ↓, Cardona J. ↑,
72', Herrarte K. ↓, Lemus M. ↑,
72', Rivas B. ↓, Chavasco G. ↑,
76', Lopez A. 🟨,
79', 🟨,
83', 🟨,
85', Lopez A. ↓, de Leon M. ↑,
85', Quezada Gamez H. E. ↓, Escobar J. ↑,
85', Diaz Y. ↓, Marquez R. ↑,
86', 2 - 3, Cardenas S. ⚽,
89', Racancoj J. ↓, Rigoberto R. D. ↑,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: )).

Xelajú is Qualified for Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Play Offs )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mictlán won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Mictlán might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Mictlán won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:21. (average 1.1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Mictlán won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:6. (average 1.7:0.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Xelaju	12	5	3	4	24:14	10	18

Last Results with these Odds

Xelajú - the odds 3.72 are the expected chance of winning is 24.42%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Mictlán
Guatemala Liga Nacional
16.04.26	Mictlán - Deportivo Mixco	2:2 ✺
11.04.26	Marquense - Mictlán	3:0 ✺
05.04.26	Mictlán - Comunicaciones	1:1 ✺
01.04.26	Antigua GFC - Mictlán	8:2 ✺
29.03.26	Mictlán - Cobán Imperial	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 TLTLW
- Club Xelajú
Guatemala Liga Nacional
16.04.26	Xelajú - Deportivo Achuapa	3:0 ✺
11.04.26	Deportivo Mixco - Xelajú	3:1 ✺
05.04.26	Xelajú - Malacateco	1:0 ✺
01.04.26	Marquense - Xelajú	1:0 ✺
28.03.26	Xelajú - Deportivo Guastatoya	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Guatemala Liga Nacional
01.03.26	Xelajú - Mictlán	2:0
11.10.25	Mictlán - Xelajú	2:1
02.08.25	Xelajú - Mictlán	0:0
12.04.17	Xelajú - Mictlán	2:3
15.02.17	Mictlán - Xelajú	1:0
26.10.16	Mictlán - Xelajú	1:2
06.08.16	Xelajú - Mictlán	0:1

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