Match Info

Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 10

Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Mario Camposeco (Quetzaltenango)

Where to Watch on TV:


Guatemala	Tigo Sports
South-america	ViX Latin America


	Xelajú		Mictlán

	1	X	2
	1.35	4.15	7.7
	1.35	4.44	9.51
	1.35	4.59	8.99	Watch
	1.33	4	9
	1.44	3.96	8.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↑ (1.36)	4.23 ↑ (4.21)	8.66 ↓ (9.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Xelajú
67.6%

Draw
21.8%

Mictlán
10.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.9%

21.9%

10.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71%

20.9%

9.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Xelajú has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Mictlán has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Xelajú than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mictlán than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Xelajú - Mictlán Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Lobos N. (G)
23. Calderon R.
11. Cardenas S.
6. de Leon M.
7. Diaz Y.
14. Gonzalez J.
10. Lopez A.
24. Marquez R.
12. Quiros D.
4. Romero M.
25. Ruiz K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Ruiz K. 🟨,
43', 🟨,
45', Quiros D. 🟥,
45+3', 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Ruiz K. ↓, Cardoza E. ↑,
46', Marquez R. ↓, Jaen Y. ↑,
68', Cardenas S. ↓, Quezada Gamez H. E. ↑,
68', Rodriguez J. 🟨,
70', 1 - 0, Calderon R. ⚽,
75', Herrarte K. ↓, Chinchilla C. ↑,
75', Menendez B. ↓, Escobar J. ↑,
77', 🟨,
89', 2 - 0, Jaen Y. ⚽,
89', Herrarte J. ↓, Martinez C. ↑,
90+1', Diaz Y. ↓, Castaneda J. ↑,
90+1', de Leon M. ↓, Quinonez O. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: ) and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Xelajú won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Xelajú may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Xelajú is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Xelajú won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 19:17. (average 1.4:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Xelajú won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:5. (average 1.9:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Xelaju	12	5	3	4	24:14	10	18

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Xelajú
Guatemala Liga Nacional
25.02.26	Deportivo Achuapa - Xelajú	0:0 ✺
22.02.26	Xelajú - Deportivo Mixco	2:1 ✺
18.02.26	Malacateco - Xelajú	1:0 ✺
15.02.26	Xelajú - Marquense	4:2 ✺
CONCACAF Champions Cup
11.02.26	Monterrey - Xelajú	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TWLWL
- Deportivo Mictlán
Guatemala Liga Nacional
26.02.26	Deportivo Mixco - Mictlán	2:2 ✺
22.02.26	Mictlán - Marquense	2:1 ✺
19.02.26	Comunicaciones - Mictlán	2:1 ✺
15.02.26	Mictlán - Antigua GFC	0:0 ✺
08.02.26	Cobán Imperial - Mictlán	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Guatemala Liga Nacional
11.10.25	Mictlán - Xelajú	2:1
02.08.25	Xelajú - Mictlán	0:0
12.04.17	Xelajú - Mictlán	2:3
15.02.17	Mictlán - Xelajú	1:0
26.10.16	Mictlán - Xelajú	1:2
06.08.16	Xelajú - Mictlán	0:1
03.04.16	Mictlán - Xelajú	3:2

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