Match Info

Date: 28 September 2021, Tuesday


	Milan		Atlético Madrid

	1	X	2
	2.62	3	2.87
	2.8	3.1	2.7
	2.88	3.15	2.8
	2.65	3.05	2.9
	2.75	3.08	3
	2.75	3	2.8
	2.78	3.2	3.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↓ (3.01)	3.08 ↓ (3.16)	2.87 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 0.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Milan
35.1%

Draw
31.3%

Atlético Madrid
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.7%

30.2%

38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.6%

21%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Milan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Atlético Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milan than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Milan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Madrid than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético Madrid, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.9%	48.6%	23.4%

Milan - Atlético Madrid Predictions

Users Predictions: 111 users predict this event. Milan will win (votes: 31 - 27.9%). Atlético will win (votes: 26 - 23.4%). It will Tie (votes: 54 - 48.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 39.3% – 57.9%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Milan has currently - 0, has a small chance of 1st (8%), has a chance of 2nd (23%), has a chance of 3rd (27%), has a chance of round of 16 (31%), has a small chance of qtrs (12%), has a very small chance of semis (5%), has a very small chance of final (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Atlético has currently - 1, has a chance of 1st (17%), has a chance of 2nd (30%), has a chance of 3rd (30%), has a chance of round of 16 (47%), has a chance of qtrs (23%), has a small chance of semis (11%), has a very small chance of final (5%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).

Milan is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Atlético is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Milan won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Milan won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Milan
Italian Serie A
25.09.21	Spezia - Milan	1:2 ✺
22.09.21	Milan - Venezia	2:0 ✺
19.09.21	Juventus - Milan	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
15.09.21	Liverpool - Milan	3:2 ✺
Italian Serie A
12.09.21	Milan - Lazio	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWTLW
- Atlético Madrid
Spanish LaLiga
25.09.21	Deportivo Alavés - Atlético Madrid	1:0 ✺
21.09.21	Getafe - Atlético Madrid	1:2 ✺
18.09.21	Atlético Madrid - Athletic Bilbao	0:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
15.09.21	Atlético Madrid - Porto	0:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
12.09.21	Espanyol - Atlético Madrid	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWTTW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
11.03.14	Atlético Madrid - Milan	4:1
19.02.14	Milan - Atlético Madrid	0:1

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