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Current Win Probability
Spezia 22.4%
Draw 27.4%
Milan 50.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
21.2%
26.1%
52.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
21%
25.9%
53.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Spezia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
Milan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spezia than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milan than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
12.5%
3.6%
83.9%
Spezia - Milan Predictions
Users Predictions:
Milan will win
(47 of 56 users predict this - 83.93%). Confidence interval (95%): 74.31% โ 93.55%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Group Stage: )).
Spezia has the most likely position - 18 (53.03%), project points - 30, currently - 27, a good chance of relegated (83%), not chance of qualify for ucl.
Milan has the most likely position - 5 (33.31%), project points - 69, currently - 61, not chance of relegated, a chance of qualify for ucl (49%), not chance of win league.
This event has quality58, big importance82, big match rating70. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Spezia won 2.
Spezia has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Milan is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Spezia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Milan have a series of home games.
In this match Milan is a favorite.
There will not play in Spezia: Agudelo K.
(Yellow Cards)
Beck J.
(Foot Injury)
Holm E.
(Groin Injury)
Maldini D.
(Muscle Injury)
Moutinho J.
(Foot Injury)
Sala J.
(Injury)
Zovko P.
(Injury)
There will not play in Milan: Bennacer I.
(Muscle Injury)
Ibrahimovic Z.
(Calf Injury)
Krunic R.
(Knee Injury)
Messias J.
(Muscle Injury)
Thiaw M.
(Yellow Cards)
There are questionable in Milan: Florenzi A.
(Injury)
Leao R.
(Injury)
Last 6 head-to-head matches Spezia won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7-11.
Including matches at home between the teams Spezia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.
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Belgium
Brazil
Bulgaria
Croatia
Czech Republic
Denmark
Finland
France
Poland
Portugal
Romania
Serbia
Slovenia
Sweden
United Kingdom
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