Match Info

EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 4

Date: 7 November 2023, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Sport
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 2
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	MTV Urheilu, Viaplay
Italy	Canale 5
Norway	Viaplay
Portugal	Eleven Sports 2
Romania	Prima Sport 1
Sweden	CMore Fotboll, TV4, Viaplay
United-kingdom	TNT Sports


	Milan		Paris Saint-Germain

	1	X	2
	3	3.5	2.3
	2.95	3.5	2.3
	2.95	3.6	2.38	Watch
	3.03	3.6	2.38
	3.04	3.6	2.38
	2.9	3.6	2.2
	3.1	3.64	2.24
	2.95	3.6	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↑ (2.92)	3.58 ↑ (3.56)	2.32 ↓ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Network on TV: Univision

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Current Win Probability

Milan
32%

Draw
26.7%

Paris Saint-Germain
41.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.6%

26.7%

40.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4%

26.5%

41%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Milan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Paris Saint-Germain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milan than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paris Saint-Germain than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12%	12%	76%

Milan - Paris Saint Germain Predictions

Users Predictions: 100 users predict this event. Milan will win (votes: 12 - 12%). PSG will win (votes: 76 - 76%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 12%).
Confidence interval (95%) for PSG: 67.6% – 84.4%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Maignan M. (G) 2. Calabria D. (C) 28. Thiaw M. 23. Tomori F. 19. Hernandez T. 8. Loftus-Cheek R. 80. Musah Y. 14. Reijnders T. 11. Pulisic C. 9. Giroud O. 10. Leao R.	99. Donnarumma G. (G) 2. Hakimi A. 5. Marquinhos (C) 37. Skriniar M. 21. Hernandez L. 33. Zaire-Emery W. 4. Ugarte M. 17. Vitinha 10. Dembele O. 23. Kolo Muani R. 7. Mbappe K.
Substitutes
7. Adli Y. 95. Bartesaghi D. 21. Chukwueze S. 42. Florenzi A. 15. Jovic L. 33. Krunic R. 83. Mirante A. (G) 69. Nava L. (G) 17. Okafor N. 32. Pobega T.	29. Barcola B. 19. Lee Kang-In 30. Letellier A. (G) 26. Mukiele N. 9. Ramos G. 8. Ruiz F. 28. Soler C. 80. Tenas A. (G)
Coaches
Pioli S.	Enrique L.

Preview

Milan is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

PSG in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

PSG could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

There will not play in Milan: Bennacer I. (Knee Injury) Caldara M. (Ankle Injury) Kalulu P. (Muscle Injury) Pellegrino M. (Leg Injury) Sportiello M. (Calf Injury)

There will not play in PSG: Asensio M. (Foot Injury) Kimpembe P. (Convalescence) Mendes N. (Muscle Injury) Navas K. (Injury) Pereira D. (Muscle Injury) Rico S. (Head Injury)

There are questionable in Milan: Kjaer S. (Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Milan won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Milan
Italian Serie A
04.11.23	Milan - Udinese	0:1 ✺
29.10.23	Napoli - Milan	2:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
25.10.23	Paris Saint-Germain - Milan	3:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
22.10.23	Milan - Juventus	0:1 ✺
07.10.23	Genoa - Milan	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LTLLW
- Paris Saint-Germain
French Ligue 1
03.11.23	Paris Saint-Germain - Montpellier	3:0 ✺
29.10.23	Brest - Paris Saint-Germain	2:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
25.10.23	Paris Saint-Germain - Milan	3:0 ✺
French Ligue 1
21.10.23	Paris Saint-Germain - Strasbourg	3:0 ✺
08.10.23	Rennes - Paris Saint-Germain	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
25.10.23	Paris Saint-Germain - Milan	3:0

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