Match Info

Serie A - Round 32

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (San Siro) (Milan)

Referee: Marchetti M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	New World Sport 2, SuperSport Football
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	DAZN
Bolivia	ESPN 2
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 2, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	DAZN Canada, FuboTV, TLN, VIVA
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Ecuador	ESPN 2
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	DAZN France
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 1
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	Match 4
Indonesia	Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport 2
Italy	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2
Kuwait	Shasha
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN
Netherlands	Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	VG+
Paraguay	ESPN 2
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN
Poland	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Prima Sport 3
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Slovakia	Sport 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
South-korea	SPOTV Now
Spain	DAZN Espana, M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 2
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 2
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	True ID, True Premier Football 3
Tunisia	Diwan Sport
Turkey	S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	DAZN USA, FOX Deportes, FOX Deportes, FOX One, FOX Sports App, Foxsports.com, Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 2, Inter
Vietnam	TV 360, VTVcab
World	Starzplay Sports app


	Milan		Udinese

	1	X	2
	1.48	4.33	7	Watch
	1.46	4.45	7.4	Watch
	1.46	4.65	8.25
	1.45	4.75	7.56	Watch
	1.44	4.2	6.5
	1.49	4.41	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↑ (1.38)	4.47 ↓ (4.98)	7.37 ↓ (7.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Milan
65.5%

Draw
21.5%

Udinese
13%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.8%

19.1%

12.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.6%

18.4%

11.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Milan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Udinese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milan than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Milan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Udinese than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	13.3%	3.3%

Milan - Udinese Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Milan (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Milan will win (24 of 29 users predict this - 82.76%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.01% – 96.51%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Maignan M. (C) 24. Athekame Z. 5. De Winter K. 31. Pavlovic S. 33. Bartesaghi D. 4. Ricci S. 14. Modric L. 12. Rabiot A. 56. Saelemaekers A. 10. Leao R. 11. Pulisic C.	40. Okoye M. (G) 31. Kristensen T. 27. Kabasele C. 28. Solet O. 19. Ehizibue K. 32. Ekkelenkamp J. 8. Karlstrom J. (C) 14. Atta A. 11. Kamara H. 10. Zaniolo N. 9. Davis K.
Substitutes
2. Estupinan P. 19. Fofana Y. 9. Fullkrug N. 46. Gabbia M. 7. Gimenez S. 30. Jashari A. 8. Loftus-Cheek R. 18. Nkunku C. 27. Odogu D. 37. Pittarella M. (G) 1. Terracciano P. (G) 23. Tomori F.	20. Arizala J. 15. Bayo V. 13. Bertola N. 18. Buksa A. 29. Camara A. 7. Gueye I. 38. Miller L. 22. Mlacic B. 1. Nunziante A. (G) 93. Padelli D. (G) 24. Piotrowski J. 90. Sava R. (G) 6. Zarraga O.
Coaches
Allegri M.	Runjaic K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
16', Leao R. 🟨,
27', 0 - 1, Bartesaghi D. (Own goal),
37', 0 - 2, Ekkelenkamp J. ⚽, Zaniolo N. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Athekame Z. ↓, Fullkrug N. ↑,
46', Kristensen T. 🟨,
60', Ricci S. ↓, Fofana Y. ↑,
66', Zaniolo N. ↓, Piotrowski J. ↑,
71', 0 - 3, Atta A. ⚽, Ekkelenkamp J. (A),
72', Pulisic C. ↓, Nkunku C. ↑,
72', Modric L. ↓, Jashari A. ↑,
76', Davis K. ↓, Gueye I. ↑,
77', Leao R. ↓, Loftus-Cheek R. ↑,
85', Atta A. ↓, Zarraga O. ↑,
86', Ekkelenkamp J. ↓, Miller L. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Milan won 4.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Milan is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Udinese: Zanoli A. (Knee Injury) Zemura J. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Udinese: Buksa A. (Calf Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Milan won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 31:22. (average 1.6:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Milan won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:11. (average 1.4:1.1).

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

AC Milan: 7.71% Udinese: 0.22%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	AC Milan	5	3	2	0	10:4	6	11
13	Udinese	5	1	1	3	8:11	-3	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Milan
Italian Serie A
06.04.26	Napoli - Milan	1:0 ✺
21.03.26	Milan - Torino	3:2 ✺
15.03.26	Lazio - Milan	1:0 ✺
08.03.26	Milan - Inter Milan	1:0 ✺
01.03.26	Cremonese - Milan	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LWLWW
- Udinese Calcio
Italian Serie A
06.04.26	Udinese - Como	0:0 ✺
20.03.26	Genoa - Udinese	0:2 ✺
14.03.26	Udinese - Juventus	0:1 ✺
07.03.26	Atalanta - Udinese	2:2 ✺
02.03.26	Udinese - Fiorentina	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.1 TWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
20.09.25	Udinese - Milan	0:3
11.04.25	Udinese - Milan	0:4
19.10.24	Milan - Udinese	1:0
20.01.24	Udinese - Milan	2:3
04.11.23	Milan - Udinese	0:1
18.03.23	Udinese - Milan	3:1
13.08.22	Milan - Udinese	4:2

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