Match Info

Serie A - Round 32

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (San Siro) (Milan) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Marchetti M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	New World Sport 2, SuperSport Football
Albania	18:00	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	13:00	Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN
Armenia	20:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	02:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	18:00	DAZN
Bolivia	12:00	ESPN 2
Bosnia And Herzegovina	18:00	Arena Sport 2
Brazil	13:00	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 2, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	19:00	Max Sport 3
Canada	12:00	DAZN Canada, FuboTV, TLN, VIVA
Chile	12:00	Disney+
China	00:00	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	11:00	Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN
Croatia	18:00	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	19:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech Republic	18:00	Oneplay, Sport 1
Denmark	18:00	TV2 Play
Ecuador	11:00	ESPN 2
Finland	19:00	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	18:00	DAZN France
Georgia	20:00	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	18:00	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	19:00	COSMOTE Sport 1
Hong Kong	00:00	beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	18:00	Match 4
Indonesia	23:00	Vidio
Israel	19:00	ONE Sport 2
Italy	18:00	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia
Japan	01:00	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	22:00	Setanta Sports
Kosovo	18:00	Arena Premium 2
Kuwait	19:00	Shasha
Macao	00:00	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	00:00	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	18:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	10:00	Disney+, ESPN
Netherlands	18:00	Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport 2
New Zealand	04:00	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	18:00	VG+
Paraguay	12:00	ESPN 2
Peru	11:00	Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN
Poland	18:00	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	17:00	Sport TV2
Romania	19:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Prima Sport 3
Russia	19:00	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi Arabia	19:00	STC TV
Serbia	18:00	Arena Premium 2
Slovakia	18:00	Sport 1
Slovenia	18:00	Arena Sport 2
South Korea	01:00	SPOTV Now
Spain	18:00	DAZN Espana, M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 2
Sweden	18:00	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 2
Switzerland	18:00	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	23:00	True ID, True Premier Football 3
Tunisia	17:00	Diwan Sport
Turkey	19:00	S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
Ukraine	19:00	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	17:00	DAZN
Uruguay	13:00	Disney+
Usa	12:00	DAZN USA, FOX Deportes, FOX Deportes, FOX One, FOX Sports App, Foxsports.com, Paramount+
Venezuela	12:00	Disney+, ESPN 2, Inter
Vietnam	23:00	TV 360, VTVcab
International	16:00	Starzplay Sports app


	Milan		Udinese

	1	X	2
	1.48	4.33	7	Watch
	1.46	4.45	7.4	Watch
	1.46	4.65	8.25
	1.45	4.75	7.56	Watch
	1.44	4.2	6.5
	1.49	4.41	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↑ (1.38)	4.47 ↓ (4.98)	7.37 ↓ (7.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Milan
65.5%

Draw
21.5%

Udinese
13%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

68.8%

19.1%

12.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.6%

17.4%

11%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Milan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Udinese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milan than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Milan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Udinese than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	13.3%	3.3%

Milan - Udinese Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Milan (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Milan will win (24 of 29 users predict this - 82.76%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.01% – 96.51%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Maignan M. (C) 24. Athekame Z. 5. De Winter K. 31. Pavlovic S. 33. Bartesaghi D. 4. Ricci S. 14. Modric L. 12. Rabiot A. 56. Saelemaekers A. 10. Leao R. 11. Pulisic C.	40. Okoye M. (G) 31. Kristensen T. 27. Kabasele C. 28. Solet O. 19. Ehizibue K. 32. Ekkelenkamp J. 8. Karlstrom J. (C) 14. Atta A. 11. Kamara H. 10. Zaniolo N. 9. Davis K.
Substitutes
2. Estupinan P. 19. Fofana Y. 9. Fullkrug N. 46. Gabbia M. 7. Gimenez S. 30. Jashari A. 8. Loftus-Cheek R. 18. Nkunku C. 27. Odogu D. 37. Pittarella M. (G) 1. Terracciano P. (G) 23. Tomori F.	20. Arizala J. 15. Bayo V. 13. Bertola N. 18. Buksa A. 29. Camara A. 7. Gueye I. 38. Miller L. 22. Mlacic B. 1. Nunziante A. (G) 93. Padelli D. (G) 24. Piotrowski J. 90. Sava R. (G) 6. Zarraga O.
Coaches
Allegri M.	Runjaic K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
16', Leao R. 🟨,
27', 0 - 1, Bartesaghi D. (Own goal),
37', 0 - 2, Ekkelenkamp J. ⚽, Zaniolo N. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Athekame Z. ↓, Fullkrug N. ↑,
46', Kristensen T. 🟨,
60', Ricci S. ↓, Fofana Y. ↑,
66', Zaniolo N. ↓, Piotrowski J. ↑,
71', 0 - 3, Atta A. ⚽, Ekkelenkamp J. (A),
72', Pulisic C. ↓, Nkunku C. ↑,
72', Modric L. ↓, Jashari A. ↑,
76', Davis K. ↓, Gueye I. ↑,
77', Leao R. ↓, Loftus-Cheek R. ↑,
85', Atta A. ↓, Zarraga O. ↑,
86', Ekkelenkamp J. ↓, Miller L. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Milan won 4.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Milan is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Udinese: Zanoli A. (Knee Injury) Zemura J. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Udinese: Buksa A. (Calf Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Milan won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 31:22. (average 1.6:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Milan won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:11. (average 1.4:1.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	AC Milan	9	5	3	1	18:11	7	18
17	Udinese	9	1	2	6	9:18	-9	5

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

AC Milan: 5.86% Udinese: 0.14%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Milan
Italian Serie A
06.04.26	Napoli - Milan	1:0 ✺
21.03.26	Milan - Torino	3:2 ✺
15.03.26	Lazio - Milan	1:0 ✺
08.03.26	Milan - Inter Milan	1:0 ✺
01.03.26	Cremonese - Milan	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LWLWW
- Udinese Calcio
Italian Serie A
06.04.26	Udinese - Como	0:0 ✺
20.03.26	Genoa - Udinese	0:2 ✺
14.03.26	Udinese - Juventus	0:1 ✺
07.03.26	Atalanta - Udinese	2:2 ✺
02.03.26	Udinese - Fiorentina	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.1 TWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
20.09.25	Udinese - Milan	0:3
11.04.25	Udinese - Milan	0:4
19.10.24	Milan - Udinese	1:0
20.01.24	Udinese - Milan	2:3
04.11.23	Milan - Udinese	0:1
18.03.23	Udinese - Milan	3:1
13.08.22	Milan - Udinese	4:2

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