Match Info

EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 3

Date: 25 October 2023, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	SuperSport
Australia	06:00	Stan Sport
Austria	21:00	Sky Sport
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Sport
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport
Czech Republic	21:00	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	21:00	Viaplay
Finland	22:00	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu
Romania	22:00	Prima Sport 1
Serbia	21:00	Arena Sport
Sweden	21:00	CMore Live
United Kingdom	20:00	TNT Sports


	Paris Saint-Germain		Milan

	1	X	2
	1.7	4	4.75
	1.71	3.8	4.75
	1.72	4.05	4.9	Watch
	1.74	4	4.85
	1.74	4	4.86
	1.67	3.9	4.8
	1.7	3.94	4.95
	1.72	4.1	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.78)	3.97 ↑ (3.82)	4.81 ↑ (4.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

Watch this match and UEFA Champions League with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: TUDN, Univision

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Paris Saint-Germain
56%

Draw
24.1%

Milan
19.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53.2%

24.8%

22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.2%

25.2%

20.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paris Saint-Germain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Milan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paris Saint-Germain than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milan than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75.9%	12.6%	11.5%

Paris Saint Germain - Milan Predictions

Users Predictions: 87 users predict this event. PSG will win (votes: 66 - 75.9%). Milan will win (votes: 10 - 11.5%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 12.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for PSG: 66.9% – 84.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Donnarumma G. (G) 2. Hakimi A. 5. Marquinhos (C) 37. Skriniar M. 21. Hernandez L. 33. Zaire-Emery W. 4. Ugarte M. 17. Vitinha 10. Dembele O. 23. Kolo Muani R. 7. Mbappe K.	16. Maignan M. (G) 20. Kalulu P. 28. Thiaw M. 23. Tomori F. 19. Hernandez T. (C) 80. Musah Y. 33. Krunic R. 14. Reijnders T. 11. Pulisic C. 9. Giroud O. 10. Leao R.
Substitutes
29. Barcola B. 19. Lee Kang-In 30. Letellier A. (G) 26. Mukiele N. 15. Pereira D. 9. Ramos G. 8. Ruiz F. 28. Soler C. 80. Tenas A. (G)	7. Adli Y. 95. Bartesaghi D. 2. Calabria D. 42. Florenzi A. 15. Jovic L. 24. Kjaer S. 83. Mirante A. (G) 69. Nava L. (G) 32. Pobega T. 70. Traore C.
Coaches
Enrique L.	Pioli S.

Preview

Now both teams are in good shape.

PSG could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match PSG is a favorite.

There will not play in PSG: Kimpembe P. (Convalescence) Mendes N. (Muscle Injury) Rico S. (Head Injury)

There will not play in Milan: Bennacer I. (Knee Injury) Caldara M. (Ankle Injury) Chukwueze S. (Injury) Loftus-Cheek R. (Muscle Injury) Sportiello M. (Calf Injury)

There are questionable in PSG: Asensio M. (Foot Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paris Saint-Germain
French Ligue 1
21.10.23	Paris Saint-Germain - Strasbourg	3:0 ✺
08.10.23	Rennes - Paris Saint-Germain	1:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
04.10.23	Newcastle United - Paris Saint-Germain	4:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
30.09.23	Clermont - Paris Saint-Germain	0:0 ✺
24.09.23	Paris Saint-Germain - Olympique Marseille	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWLTW
- AC Milan
Italian Serie A
22.10.23	Milan - Juventus	0:1 ✺
07.10.23	Genoa - Milan	0:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
04.10.23	Borussia Dortmund - Milan	0:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
30.09.23	Milan - Lazio	2:0 ✺
27.09.23	Cagliari - Milan	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWTWW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paris Saint-Germain
UEFA Champions League
03.11.26	Villarreal - Paris Saint-Germain	✺
French Ligue 1
30.10.26	Le Havre - Paris Saint-Germain	✺
- AC Milan
Italian Serie A
31.10.26	Milan - Inter Milan	✺

Paris Saint-Germain - Milan