Match Info

ITALY: Serie A - Round 38

Date: 25 May 2024, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (San Siro) (Milan) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Di Marco D. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	SuperSport
Australia	04:45	beIN Sports
Bosnia And Herzegovina	20:45	Arena Sport
Bulgaria	21:45	Max Sport 3
Croatia	20:45	Arena Sport
Czech Republic	20:45	Nova Sport 3
Finland	21:45	MTV Katsomo, MTV Max
France	20:45	beIN Sports Max
Hungary	20:45	Sport 2
Portugal	19:45	Sport TV3
Romania	21:45	Prima Sport 2
Serbia	20:45	Arena Sport
Slovenia	20:45	Arena Sport
United Kingdom	19:45	TNT Sports
International	18:45	Setanta Sports Eurasia


	Milan		Salernitana

	1	X	2
	1.13	10	17	Watch
	1.13	9.75	19
	1.11	9.3	22	Watch
	1.13	10.41	19.21
	1.12	10.41	19.21
	1.08	11	21
	1.13	12	22	Watch
	1.12	9.8	19
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.12 ↓ (1.19)	10.33 ↑ (8.03)	19.8 ↑ (12.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Milan
85.9%

Draw
9.3%

Salernitana
4.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

80.5%

11.9%

7.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Milan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Milan's performance.

Salernitana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	8.3%	13.9%

Milan - Salernitana Predictions

Users Predictions: 36 users predict this event. Milan will win (votes: 28 - 77.8%). Salernitana will win (votes: 5 - 13.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Milan: 64.2% – 91.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
83. Mirante A. (G) 2. Calabria D. (C) 46. Gabbia M. 23. Tomori F. 19. Hernandez T. 42. Florenzi A. 14. Reijnders T. 11. Pulisic C. 4. Bennacer I. 10. Leao R. 9. Giroud O.	1. Fiorillo V. (G) 27. Pierozzi N. 23. Gyomber N. 4. Pasalidis T. 6. Sambia J. 25. Maggiore G. 18. Coulibaly L. 59. Zanoli A. 87. Candreva A. (C) 20. Kastanos G. 33. Tchaouna L.
Substitutes
7. Adli Y. 30. Caldara M. 15. Jovic L. 20. Kalulu P. 24. Kjaer S. 8. Loftus-Cheek R. 80. Musah Y. 69. Nava L. (G) 17. Okafor N. 32. Pobega T. 57. Sportiello M. (G) 38. Terracciano F. 28. Thiaw M.	70. Boncori L. 56. Costil B. (G) 45. Di Vico R. 41. Ferrari T. 43. Fusco G. 42. Guccione N. 99. Legowski M. 24. Pellegrino M. 65. Salvati G. (G) 36. Sfait A. 9. Simy 55. Vignato E.
Coaches
Pioli S.	Colantuono S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Leao R. ⚽,
27', 2 - 0, Giroud O. ⚽, Florenzi A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 3)
51', Pierozzi N. 🟨,
58', Gabbia M. ↓, Caldara M. ↑,
59', Leao R. ↓, Adli Y. ↑,
60', Kastanos G. ↓, Simy ↑,
61', Candreva A. ↓, Vignato E. ↑,
64', 2 - 1, Simy ⚽, Sambia J. (A),
75', Gyomber N. ↓, Pellegrino M. ↑,
77', 3 - 1, Calabria D. ⚽, Pulisic C. (A),
82', Maggiore G. ↓, Sfait A. ↑,
82', Zanoli A. ↓, Legowski M. ↑,
85', Giroud O. ↓, Jovic L. ↑,
87', 3 - 2, Sambia J. ⚽,
88', Mirante A. ↓, Nava L. ↑,
88', Tomori F. ↓, Kjaer S. ↑,
89', 3 - 3, Simy ⚽,

Preview

Milan is Qualified for Champions League (Group Stage )

Salernitana is Relegated to Serie B

Last 5 head-to-head matches Milan won 2.

Recent matches Milan is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Salernitana is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Milan is indisputable favorite.

There will not play in Milan: Chukwueze S. (Thigh Injury) Maignan M. (Finger Injury)

There will not play in Salernitana: Basic T. (Yellow Cards) Gomis I. (Illness) Martegani A. (Injury)

There are questionable in Milan: Loftus-Cheek R. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Salernitana: Boateng J. (Injury) Bradaric D. (Injury) Dia B. (Injury) Fazio F. (Injury) Gyomber N. (Injury) Ikwuemesi C. (Injury) Manolas K. (Injury) Ochoa G. (Injury) Pirola L. (Injury) Simy (Injury)

Last 6 head-to-head matches Milan won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Milan won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Milan
Italian Serie A
18.05.24	Torino - Milan	3:1 ✺
11.05.24	Milan - Cagliari	5:1 ✺
05.05.24	Milan - Genoa	3:3 ✺
27.04.24	Juventus - Milan	0:0 ✺
22.04.24	Milan - Inter Milan	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LWTTL
- US Salernitana 1919
Italian Serie A
20.05.24	Salernitana - Verona	1:2 ✺
12.05.24	Juventus - Salernitana	1:1 ✺
06.05.24	Salernitana - Atalanta	1:2 ✺
26.04.24	Frosinone - Salernitana	3:0 ✺
21.04.24	Salernitana - Fiorentina	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
22.12.23	Salernitana - Milan	2:2
13.03.23	Milan - Salernitana	1:1
04.01.23	Salernitana - Milan	1:2
19.02.22	Salernitana - Milan	2:2
04.12.21	Milan - Salernitana	2:0

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