Match Info

Serie A - Round 19

Date: 8 January 2026, Thursday

Location: Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (San Siro) (Milan)

Referee: Mariani M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 4, DStv Now, SuperSport Football, SuperSport Maximo 3, ZAP
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Angola	Z Sports 1
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 3
Armenia	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Disney+, ESPN 4
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	DAZN Canada, TLN, VIVA
Chile	Disney+, ESPN 3
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 3
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 1
Haiti	Tele Haiti
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	Match 4
Indonesia	ANTV, Vidio
Israel	Sport 1
Italy	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	ART Sport 1
Kuwait	Shasha
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 2
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2, Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 2 Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	VG+
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	Sport TV3
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Sport 1
Slovakia	Sport 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
South-africa	SuperSport Football
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	True ID, True Premier Football 3
Tunisia	Diwan Sport
Turkey	S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	DAZN USA, Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	TV 360, VTVcab


	Milan		Genoa

	1	X	2
	1.45	4	8.5	Watch
	1.5	4.15	6.9	Watch
	1.5	4.19	7.92	Watch
	1.4	4	7
	1.47	4.1	9.27
	1.48	4	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↑ (1.43)	4.07 ↓ (4.45)	7.93 ↑ (7.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Milan
64.7%

Draw
23.3%

Genoa
12%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.4%

21.3%

12.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.7%

20.6%

11.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Milan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Genoa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milan than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Genoa than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
89.6%	3.9%	6.5%

Milan - Genoa Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 6.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 - Genoa (1.54) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

AH -1 - Milan (1.84) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

DC - Milan (1.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Milan will win (68 of 76 users predict this - 89.47%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.57% – 96.37%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Milan will win (17 of 20 users predict this - 85%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 26 Selected Experts predict this event. Milan (votes: 20 - 76.9%). Genoa (votes: 5 - 19.2%). Tie (votes: 1 - 3.8%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Maignan M. (C) 23. Tomori F. 46. Gabbia M. 31. Pavlovic S. 56. Saelemaekers A. 19. Fofana Y. 14. Modric L. 12. Rabiot A. 33. Bartesaghi D. 11. Pulisic C. 10. Leao R.	1. Leali N. (G) 27. Marcandalli A. 5. Ostigard L. 22. Vasquez J. (C) 15. Norton-Cuffy B. 32. Frendrup M. 17. Malinovskyi R. 2. Thorsby M. 3. Martin A. 9. Vitinha 29. Colombo L.
Substitutes
24. Athekame Z. 38. Castiello A. 5. De Winter K. 2. Estupinan P. 9. Fullkrug N. 30. Jashari A. 8. Loftus-Cheek R. 27. Odogu D. 4. Ricci S. 1. Terracciano P. (G) 96. Torriani L. (G)	30. Cuenca Martinez H. F. 21. Ekhator J. 77. Ellertsson M. E. 40. Fini S. 35. Lysionok E. (G) 73. Masini P. 86. Nuredini J. 34. Otoa S. 20. Sabelli S. 39. Sommariva D. (G) 8. Stanciu N. 76. Venturino L.
Coaches
Allegri M.	De Rossi D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
28', 0 - 1, Colombo L. ⚽, Malinovskyi R. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Fofana Y. ↓, Loftus-Cheek R. ↑,
63', Thorsby M. ↓, Masini P. ↑,
64', Malinovskyi R. ↓, Ellertsson M. E. ↑,
65', Saelemaekers A. ↓, Fullkrug N. ↑,
70', Gabbia M. 🟨,
75', Vitinha ↓, Ekhator J. ↑,
75', Gabbia M. ↓, Athekame Z. ↑,
80', Leali N. 🟨,
83', Colombo L. ↓, Otoa S. ↑,
83', Martin A. ↓, Stanciu N. ↑,
90+2', 1 - 1, Leao R. ⚽,
90+7', Maignan M. 🟨,
90+7', Pavlovic S. 🟨,
90+9', Stanciu N. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 17).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Milan won 3.

Milan is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Genoa has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Milan is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Milan: Gimenez S. (Ankle Injury) Nkunku C. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Genoa: Ekuban C. (Muscle Injury) Onana J. (International duty)

There are questionable in Genoa: Cornet M. (Injury) Gronbaek A. (Injury) Junior Messias (Calf Injury) Otoa S. (Shin Injury) Siegrist B. (Finger Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Milan won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 30:20. (average 1.5:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Milan won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:12. (average 1.5:1.1).

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

AC Milan: 7.76% Genoa: 0.14%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	AC Milan	5	3	2	0	10:4	6	11
19	Genoa	5	0	1	4	3:10	-7	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Milan
Italian Serie A
02.01.26	Cagliari - Milan	0:1 ✺
28.12.25	Milan - Verona	3:0 ✺
Italian Super Cup
18.12.25	Napoli - Milan	2:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
14.12.25	Milan - Sassuolo	2:2 ✺
08.12.25	Torino - Milan	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWLTW
- Genoa CFC
Italian Serie A
03.01.26	Genoa - Pisa	1:1 ✺
29.12.25	Roma - Genoa	3:1 ✺
21.12.25	Genoa - Atalanta	0:1 ✺
14.12.25	Genoa - Inter Milan	1:2 ✺
08.12.25	Udinese - Genoa	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
05.05.25	Genoa - Milan	1:2
15.12.24	Milan - Genoa	0:0
05.05.24	Milan - Genoa	3:3
07.10.23	Genoa - Milan	0:1
15.04.22	Milan - Genoa	2:0
Coppa Italia
13.01.22	Milan - Genoa	3:1 ET
Italian Serie A
01.12.21	Genoa - Milan	0:3

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