Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA LIBERTADORES - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 1

Date: 2 April 2024, Tuesday

Location: Estadio El Campín (Bogotá)

Referee: Herrera D. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Brazil	ESPN
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Croatia	Arena Sport
Germany	Sport 1+
Portugal	Sport TV2
Serbia	Arena Sport


	Millonarios		Flamengo

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.1	3.25	1.93
	4.2	3.4	1.9	Watch
	4.38	3.39	1.96
	4.38	3.39	1.89
	3.9	3.3	1.83	Watch
	4.07	3.44	1.95	Watch
	4	3.4	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.15 ↓ (4.39)	3.37 ↓ (3.61)	1.9 ↑ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Millonarios
22.7%

Draw
27.9%

Flamengo
49.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.4%

26%

52.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.7%

25.2%

54.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Millonarios has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Flamengo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Millonarios than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (+5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Millonarios - Flamengo Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Millonarios will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Flamengo will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Montero A. (G) 22. Alfonzo D. 4. Vargas J. P. 29. Moreno Paz A. F. 37. Hernandez J. 8. Giraldo D. 5. Vasquez L. 23. Castro L. 14. Silva D. 10. Catano D. 32. Giordana S.	1. Rossi A. (G) 2. Varela G. 23. David Luiz 15. Fabricio Bruno 17. Vina M. 11. Everton 48. Igor Jesus 5. Pulgar E. 27. Bruno Henrique 9. Pedro 14. de Arrascaeta G. (C)
Substitutes
33. Arevalo Chaparro J. N. 9. Carvajal J. 11. Castro Espinosa B. D. 42. Largacha J. 34. Navarro S. 12. Novoa D. (G) 21. Pereira J. 13. Quinones Y. 7. Rodriguez E. 18. Ruiz D. 6. Vanegas Zuniga O. L. 28. Vega S.	21. Allan 6. Ayrton Lucas 33. Cleiton 49. Dyogo Alves (G) 52. Evertton 3. Leo Ortiz 4. Leo Pereira 19. Lorran 7. Luiz Araujo 25. Matheus Cunha (G) 20. Matheus Goncalves 29. Victor Hugo
Coaches
Gamero A.	Tite

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Castro L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Igor Jesus ↓, Allan ↑,
61', Vasquez L. 🟥,
64', 0 - 1, Pedro (Pen),
72', Pedro ↓, Luiz Araujo ↑,
78', Giordana S. ↓, Rodriguez E. ↑,
79', Catano D. ↓, Ruiz D. ↑,
80', 1 - 1, Ruiz D. ⚽, Rodriguez E. (A),
82', Vina M. ↓, Ayrton Lucas ↑,
84', Luiz Araujo 🟨,
87', Varela G. ↓, Evertton ↑,
90', Castro L. ↓, Pereira J. ↑,
90+5', Silva D. ↓, Castro Espinosa B. D. ↑,

Preview

Recent matches Millonarios is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Flamengo in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Flamengo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Flamengo is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Millonarios FC
Colombian Primera A
30.03.24	Fortaleza CEIF - Millonarios	1:2 ✺
27.03.24	Millonarios - Independiente Santa Fe	3:1 ✺
23.03.24	Millonarios - Deportivo Cali	1:1 ✺
17.03.24	Envigado - Millonarios	1:1 ✺
10.03.24	Jaguares de Córdoba - Millonarios	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWTTL
- Flamengo RJ
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
30.03.24	Nova Iguaçu - Flamengo	0:3 ✺
16.03.24	Flamengo - Fluminense	0:0 ✺
09.03.24	Fluminense - Flamengo	0:2 ✺
02.03.24	Flamengo - Madureira	3:0 ✺
25.02.24	Flamengo - Fluminense	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WTWWW

Upcoming Matches