Millonarios - Flamengo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide

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Match Info

  • SOUTH AMERICA: COPA LIBERTADORES - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 1
  • Date: 2 April 2024, Tuesday
  • Location: Estadio El Campín (Bogotá)
  • Referee: Herrera D. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
  • australiaAustraliabeIN Sports
    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport
    brazilBrazilESPN
    bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport
    germanyGermanySport 1+
    portugalPortugalSport TV2
    serbiaSerbiaArena Sport
    Millonarios Flamengo
    Millonarios Flamengo
    1 X 2
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    Bovada 4 3.4 1.85
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.15
    (4.39)
    3.37
    (3.61)
    1.9
    (1.78)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

    • The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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    Current Win Probability

    Millonarios
    22.7%
    Draw
    27.9%
    Flamengo
    49.4%

    Initial Probability

    (when we started the analysis)
    21.4% 26% 52.7%

    Our Initial ML Estimation

    20.7% 25.2% 54.4%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Millonarios has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • Flamengo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Millonarios than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (+5%)
  • Who will win by Users?

    1
    X
    2
    25% 0% 75%
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    Predictions

  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Millonarios will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Flamengo will win (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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    Lineups

    Starting Lineups
    31. ColombiaMontero A. (G)
    22. VenezuelaAlfonzo D.
      4. CostaVargas J. P.
    29. ColombiaMoreno Paz A. F.
    37. ColombiaHernandez J.
      8. ColombiaGiraldo D.
      5. ColombiaVasquez L.
    23. ColombiaCastro L.
    14. ColombiaSilva D.
    10. ColombiaCatano D.
    32. ArgentinaGiordana S.
      1. ArgentinaRossi A. (G)
      2. UruguayVarela G.
    23. BrazilDavid Luiz
    15. BrazilFabricio Bruno
    17. UruguayVina M.
    11. BrazilEverton
    48. BrazilIgor Jesus
      5. ChilePulgar E.
    27. BrazilBruno Henrique
      9. BrazilPedro
    14. Uruguayde Arrascaeta G. (C)
    Substitutes
    33. ColombiaArevalo Chaparro J. N.
      9. ColombiaCarvajal J.
    11. ColombiaCastro Espinosa B. D.
    42. ColombiaLargacha J.
    34. ColombiaNavarro S.
    12. ColombiaNovoa D. (G)
    21. ColombiaPereira J.
    13. ColombiaQuinones Y.
      7. ColombiaRodriguez E.
    18. ColombiaRuiz D.
      6. ColombiaVanegas Zuniga O. L.
    28. ColombiaVega S.
    21. BrazilAllan
      6. BrazilAyrton Lucas
    33. BrazilCleiton
    49. BrazilDyogo Alves (G)
    52. BrazilEvertton
      3. BrazilLeo Ortiz
      4. BrazilLeo Pereira
    19. BrazilLorran
      7. BrazilLuiz Araujo
    25. BrazilMatheus Cunha (G)
    20. BrazilMatheus Goncalves
    29. BrazilVictor Hugo
    Coaches
         ColombiaGamero A.
         BrazilTite

    Key Events of the Match

    • 1st Half (0 - 0)
    • 21', Castro L. 🟨,
    • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
    • 46', Igor Jesus , Allan ,
    • 61', Vasquez L. 🟥,
    • 64', 0 - 1, Pedro (Pen),
    • 72', Pedro , Luiz Araujo ,
    • 78', Giordana S. , Rodriguez E. ,
    • 79', Catano D. , Ruiz D. ,
    • 80', 1 - 1, Ruiz D. , Rodriguez E. (A),
    • 82', Vina M. , Ayrton Lucas ,
    • 84', Luiz Araujo 🟨,
    • 87', Varela G. , Evertton ,
    • 90', Castro L. , Pereira J. ,
    • 90+5', Silva D. , Castro Espinosa B. D. ,

    Preview

  • Recent matches Millonarios is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
  • Flamengo in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
  • Flamengo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
  • In this match Flamengo is a favorite.
  • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
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    Form
    - easy match; - difficult match;
    - Millonarios FC
    Colombian Primera A
    30.03.24 Fortaleza CEIF - Millonarios 1:2
    27.03.24 Millonarios - Independiente Santa Fe 3:1
    23.03.24 Millonarios - Deportivo Cali 1:1
    17.03.24 Envigado - Millonarios 1:1
    10.03.24 Jaguares de Córdoba - Millonarios 2:1
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5
    WWTTL
    - Flamengo RJ
    Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
    30.03.24 Nova Iguaçu - Flamengo 0:3
    16.03.24 Flamengo - Fluminense 0:0
    09.03.24 Fluminense - Flamengo 0:2
    02.03.24 Flamengo - Madureira 3:0
    25.02.24 Flamengo - Fluminense 2:0
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4
    WTWWW
    Upcoming Matches
    - easy match; - difficult match;
    - Millonarios FC
    Colombian Primera A
    30.08.26 Millonarios - Inter Bogotá
    27.08.26 Llaneros SA - Millonarios
    - Flamengo RJ
    Brazilian Serie A
    30.08.26 Flamengo - Botafogo RJ