Match Info

Championship - Round 34

Date: 25 February 2026, Wednesday

Location: The Den (London)

Referee: Whitestone D. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
Iceland	Viaplay
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport 1
United-kingdom	Sky Sports+
Usa	Paramount+


	Millwall		Birmingham City

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.3	2.75	Watch
	2.45	3.3	2.85
	2.56	3.2	2.86	Watch
	2.58	3.28	2.95
	2.53	3.23	2.87	Watch
	2.45	3.1	2.75
	2.48	3.18	2.83	Watch
	2.4	3.33	2.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↑ (2.42)	3.24 ↓ (3.35)	2.84 ↓ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Millwall
37.8%

Draw
29%

Birmingham City
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

28.3%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

29.3%

33.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Millwall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Birmingham City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

The ML Model estimate for Millwall aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham City than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.2%	15.4%	15.4%

Millwall - Birmingham City Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Millwall will win (votes: 16 - 66.7%). Birmingham will win (votes: 4 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Millwall: 47.8% – 85.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Millwall (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Birmingham (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Millwall (1.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Millwall (votes: 4 - 50%). Birmingham (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Patterson A. (G) 4. Crama T. 3. Sturge Z. 5. Cooper J. (C) 18. Leonard R. 24. De Norre C. 8. Mitchell B. 17. Langstaff M. 10. Neghli C. 11. Azeez F. 19. Coburn J.	25. Beadle J. (G) 26. Osayi-Samuel B. 4. Klarer C. (C) 37. Panzo J. 31. Wagner K. 24. Iwata T. 14. Solis Romero J. E. 23. Vicente C. 28. Stansfield J. 17. Osman I. 29. Priske A.
Substitutes
7. Ballo T. 67. Bannan B. 15. Crocombe M. (G) 25. Cundle L. 14. Doughty A. 9. Ivanovic M. 49. Mazou-Sacko D. 2. McNamara D. 22. Watson T.	21. Allsop R. (G) 7. Doyle T. 33. Ducksch M. 27. Fujimoto K. 10. Gray D. 2. Laird E. 5. Neumann P. 16. Roberts P. 6. Robinson J.
Coaches
Neil A.	Davies C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, Azeez F. ⚽, Crama T. (A),
31', 2 - 0, Crama T. ⚽,
45', Solis Romero J. E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Osman I. ↓, Gray D. ↑,
49', 3 - 0, Cooper J. ⚽, Crama T. (A),
53', Solis Romero J. E. 🟨,
54', Priske A. ↓, Doyle T. ↑,
59', Azeez F. 🟨,
60', Coburn J. ↓, Ivanovic M. ↑,
68', Wagner K. ↓, Laird E. ↑,
73', Leonard R. ↓, McNamara D. ↑,
73', Sturge Z. ↓, Doughty A. ↑,
73', Azeez F. ↓, Watson T. ↑,
79', Mitchell B. ↓, Bannan B. ↑,
80', Stansfield J. ↓, Ducksch M. ↑,
80', Vicente C. ↓, Roberts P. ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Millwall won 1.

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Millwall: Bryan J. (Injury) Jensen L. (Muscle Injury) Kelly D. (Injury) Luongo M. (Knee Injury) Smallbone W. (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in Birmingham: Buchanan L. (Knee Injury) Cochrane A. (Ankle Injury) Paik Seung-Ho (Injury)

There are questionable in Birmingham: Priske A. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Millwall won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 20:23. (average 1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Millwall won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.2:1.1).

Outrights of English League Championship for now

Birmingham: 5.83% Millwall: 5.26%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Birmingham	9	3	5	1	13:11	2	14
8	Millwall	9	4	2	3	16:15	1	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Millwall
English League Championship
21.02.26	Millwall - Portsmouth	1:3 ✺
14.02.26	Sheffield Wednesday - Millwall	1:2 ✺
07.02.26	Wrexham - Millwall	0:2 ✺
31.01.26	Millwall - Sheffield United	1:1 ✺
24.01.26	Millwall - Charlton Athletic	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LWWTW
- Birmingham City
English League Championship
21.02.26	Norwich City - Birmingham City	1:2 ✺
English FA Cup
15.02.26	Birmingham City - Leeds United	1:2 penalties ✺
English League Championship
10.02.26	Birmingham City - West Bromwich Albion	0:0 ✺
07.02.26	Birmingham City - Leicester City	2:1 ✺
31.01.26	Oxford United - Birmingham City	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
04.11.25	Birmingham City - Millwall	4:0
09.03.24	Millwall - Birmingham City	1:0
02.09.23	Birmingham City - Millwall	1:1
18.04.23	Millwall - Birmingham City	0:1
02.11.22	Birmingham City - Millwall	0:0
23.04.22	Birmingham City - Millwall	2:2
04.12.21	Millwall - Birmingham City	3:1

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