The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Milsami Orhei 31.5%
Draw 27.9%
KuPS Kuopio 40.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
23.6%
25.1%
51.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
22.9%
24.4%
52.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Milsami Orhei has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Milsami Orhei's performance.
KuPS Kuopio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and KuPS Kuopio might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milsami Orhei than the current prediction. (-8.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Milsami Orhei that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for KuPS Kuopio than the current prediction. (+12.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that KuPS Kuopio could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
22.2%
50%
27.8%
Milsami Orhei - KuPS Kuopio Predictions
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Milsami will win (votes: 4 - 25%). KuPS will win (votes: 4 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 50%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 25.5% โ 74.5%.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. Milsami (votes: 10 - 62.5%). KuPS (votes: 1 - 6.3%). Tie (votes: 5 - 31.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Timbur E. (G) 29. Asmelash H. 4. Koy Lupano D. 38. Olatunde-Matthew O. 30. Takyi F. 5. Nwaeze C. 25. Khali N. 18. Yoda A. 10. Ginsari R. (C) 15. Ndon I. 28. Kalabatama K.
1. Kreidl J. (G) 6. Savolainen S. 15. Cisse I. 16. Miettinen S. 25. Antwi C. 10. Arifi D. 13. Oksanen J. 21. Luyeye-Lutumba J. 34. Ruoppi O. 8. Pennanen P. (C) 11. Sadiku A.
Substitutes
17. Arhirii I. 11. Chele S. 31. Dujmovic F. (G) 6. Ghimp I. 22. Jardan V. 27. Keita S. 7. Lisu D. 12. Vornic D. (G)
24. Armah B. 12. Hakala A. (G) 22. Hamalainen N. 17. Heinonen A. 37. Pitkanen M. (G) 30. Sahimaa L. 20. Toure M. 7. Voutilainen J.
Coaches
Picusceac I.
Wiss J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Cisse I. 🟨,
40', Miettinen S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
62', Pennanen P. ↓, Hamalainen N. ↑,
62', Sadiku A. ↓, Toure M. ↑,
62', Olatunde-Matthew O. ↓, Jardan V. ↑,
75', Takyi F. ↓, Keita S. ↑,
77', Luyeye-Lutumba J. ↓, Voutilainen J. ↑,
79', Kreidl J. 🟨,
86', Kalabatama K. 🟨,
90', Antwi C. ↓, Armah B. ↑,
Preview
1st leg result: 0-1. 2nd leg.
In recent matches, Milsami has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
KuPS is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
KuPS may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Milsami won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 1:2.3).
Including home match between the teams, Milsami won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4.
Last Results with these Odds
KuPS Kuopio - the odds 1.81 are the expected chance of winning is 51.31%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.