Match Info

Date: 6 November 2021, Saturday


	Milton Keynes Dons		Stevenage Borough

	1	X	2
	1.61	4	5.5
	1.5	3.5	6.5
	1.5	4	5.5
	1.67	3.85	4.7
	1.65	3.65	5.41
	1.55	3.9	5.8
	1.61	3.98	5.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↑ (1.39)	3.84 ↓ (4.48)	5.49 ↓ (7.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Milton Keynes Dons
58.8%

Draw
24.3%

Stevenage Borough
17%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.5%

20.6%

12.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

12.1%

21.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Milton Keynes Dons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Milton Keynes Dons's form might have worsened.

Stevenage Borough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (-19.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Milton Keynes Dons that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stevenage Borough than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Milton Keynes Dons - Stevenage Borough Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Replayed if draw.

Recent matches MK Dons is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Stevenage is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

MK Dons could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match MK Dons is indisputable favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches MK Dons won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 21-16.

Including matches at home between the teams MK Dons won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Milton Keynes Dons
English League One
30.10.21	Crewe Alexandra - Milton Keynes Dons	1:4 ✺
English EFL Trophy
26.10.21	Milton Keynes Dons - Aston Villa U21	2:4 ✺
English League One
23.10.21	Milton Keynes Dons - Rotherham United	0:3 ✺
19.10.21	Wigan Athletic - Milton Keynes Dons	1:2 ✺
16.10.21	Shrewsbury Town - Milton Keynes Dons	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLLWL
- Stevenage Borough
English League Two
30.10.21	Newport County - Stevenage Borough	5:0 ✺
23.10.21	Stevenage Borough - Leyton Orient	0:0 ✺
19.10.21	Northampton Town - Stevenage Borough	3:0 ✺
16.10.21	Oldham Athletic - Stevenage Borough	3:0 ✺
09.10.21	Stevenage Borough - Exeter City	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LTLLT

Latest Head to Head

English EFL Trophy
06.10.20	Stevenage Borough - Milton Keynes Dons	2:3
03.09.19	Stevenage Borough - Milton Keynes Dons	0:3
English League Two
16.03.19	Milton Keynes Dons - Stevenage Borough	1:1
24.11.18	Stevenage Borough - Milton Keynes Dons	3:2
English EFL Trophy
03.10.17	Milton Keynes Dons - Stevenage Borough	1:0 penalties
Club Friendly
30.07.16	Stevenage Borough - Milton Keynes Dons	4:1
English League One
22.03.14	Stevenage Borough - Milton Keynes Dons	2:3

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