The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Milton Keynes Dons 37%
Draw 30.8%
Wigan Athletic 32.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.7%
28.5%
37.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47%
20.4%
27.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Milton Keynes Dons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
Wigan Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Wigan Athletic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (+10%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Milton Keynes Dons, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wigan Athletic than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Wigan Athletic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Milton Keynes Dons - Wigan Athletic Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).
MK Dons has the most likely position - 3 (39.38%), has project points - 89, has currently - 72, has not chance of relegated, has a good chance of prom. playoffs (61%), has a good chance of promoted (53%), has a small chance of win league (9%).
Wigan has the most likely position - 2 (38.02%), has project points - 92, has currently - 72, has not chance of relegated, has a chance of prom. playoffs (35%), has a good chance of promoted (70%), has a chance of win league (26%).
This event has small quality29, very big importance100, match rating65. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches MK Dons won 2.
MK Dons in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
Recent matches Wigan is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Wigan could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Wigan have a series of home games.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
Last 7 head-to-head matches MK Dons won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9-16.
Including matches at home between the teams MK Dons won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-4.