Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 20

Date: 28 November 2023, Tuesday


	Wigan Athletic		Fleetwood Town

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.6	2.75
	2.4	3.4	2.75
	2.55	3.5	2.6	Watch
	2.49	3.62	2.81
	2.49	3.62	2.81
	2.38	3.5	2.62
	2.43	3.48	2.75	Watch
	2.3	3.5	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↑ (2.29)	3.53 ↓ (3.55)	2.75 ↓ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wigan Athletic
38.9%

Draw
26.8%

Fleetwood Town
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

26.6%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5%

26.5%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wigan Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Fleetwood Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wigan Athletic than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fleetwood Town than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.3%	25%	16.7%

Wigan Athletic - Fleetwood Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Wigan will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Fleetwood will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wigan: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tickle S. (G) 7. Clare S. 6. Hughes C. 23. Rekik O. 3. Pearce T. 21. Smith S. 26. Adeeko B. 17. Godo M. 19. Lang C. (C) 14. Jones J. 11. Humphrys S.	13. Lynch J. (G) 26. Rooney S. 16. Heneghan B. (C) 18. Holgate H. 32. Earl J. 6. Robertson S. 4. Wiredu B. 10. Mayor D. 11. Broom R. 14. Marriott J. 44. Patterson P.
Substitutes
12. Amos B. (G) 28. Magennis J. 20. McManaman C. 16. Shaw L. 25. Stones J. 22. Sze C. 2. Watts K.	21. Hayes C. 2. Johnston C. 5. Lawal B. 30. McMullan S. (G) 9. Stockley J. 7. Tshimanga K. 8. Vela J.
Coaches
Maloney S.	Johnson L.

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 18 and 21 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Wigan won 3.

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Fleetwood could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Wigan have a series of guest games.

Recently Fleetwood have a series of home games.

Wigan will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Wigan won 8 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 27-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Wigan won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wigan Athletic
English League One
25.11.23	Leyton Orient - Wigan Athletic	1:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
14.11.23	Tranmere Rovers - Wigan Athletic	0:1 penalties ✺
English League One
11.11.23	Cheltenham Town - Wigan Athletic	1:1 ✺
07.11.23	Wigan Athletic - Peterborough United	2:1 ✺
English FA Cup
04.11.23	Exeter City - Wigan Athletic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 TWTWW
- Fleetwood Town
English League One
25.11.23	Fleetwood Town - Stevenage Borough	0:3 ✺
11.11.23	Fleetwood Town - Exeter City	3:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
07.11.23	Fleetwood Town - Leicester City U21	4:0 ✺
English FA Cup
05.11.23	Kidderminster Harriers - Fleetwood Town	1:2 ✺
English League One
01.11.23	Fleetwood Town - Blackpool	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

English EFL Trophy
10.10.23	Wigan Athletic - Fleetwood Town	4:3 penalties
English League Cup
09.08.22	Fleetwood Town - Wigan Athletic	1:0
English League One
01.03.22	Wigan Athletic - Fleetwood Town	2:0
02.11.21	Fleetwood Town - Wigan Athletic	2:3
23.01.21	Wigan Athletic - Fleetwood Town	0:0
19.12.20	Fleetwood Town - Wigan Athletic	1:1
English League Cup
05.09.20	Fleetwood Town - Wigan Athletic	3:2

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