Match Info

ENGLAND: CHAMPIONSHIP - ROUND 25

Date: 29 December 2022, Thursday

Location: DW Stadium (Wigan)

Referee: Salisbury M. (Eng)


	Wigan Athletic		Sunderland

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.3	2.6
	2.65	3.4	2.55
	2.75	3.35	2.65
	2.6	3.35	2.6
	2.8	3.41	2.65
	2.6	3.25	2.62
	2.71	3.46	2.55	Watch
	2.65	3.4	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↓ (2.76)	3.37 ↑ (3.2)	2.61 ↑ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wigan Athletic
35.4%

Draw
28.2%

Sunderland
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.8%

29.2%

37%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9%

28.4%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wigan Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Sunderland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wigan Athletic than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sunderland than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
17.2%	32.8%	50%

Wigan Athletic - Sunderland Predictions

Users Predictions: 58 users predict this event. Wigan will win (votes: 10 - 17.2%). Sunderland will win (votes: 29 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 19 - 32.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sunderland: 37.1% – 62.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 9).

Wigan has the most likely position - 24 (14.53%), has project points - 50, has currently - 24, has a chance of relegated (41%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Sunderland has the most likely position - 14 (6.63%), has project points - 62, has currently - 34, has a very small chance of relegated (4%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (12%), has a very small chance of promoted (3%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 39, small importance 29, match rating 34. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Wigan won 1.

Wigan is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sunderland is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Wigan: Kerr J. (Injury)

There will not play in Sunderland: Batth D. (Injury)

There are questionable in Wigan: Pearce T. (Injury)

Last 8 head-to-head matches Wigan won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 7-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Wigan won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wigan Athletic
English League Championship
26.12.22	Middlesbrough - Wigan Athletic	4:1 ✺
19.12.22	Wigan Athletic - Sheffield United	1:2 ✺
10.12.22	Millwall - Wigan Athletic	1:1 ✺
12.11.22	Wigan Athletic - Blackpool	2:1 ✺
08.11.22	Coventry City - Wigan Athletic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LLTWL
- Sunderland AFC
English League Championship
26.12.22	Sunderland - Blackburn Rovers	2:1 ✺
17.12.22	Hull City - Sunderland	1:1 ✺
12.12.22	Sunderland - West Bromwich Albion	1:2 ✺
03.12.22	Sunderland - Millwall	3:0 ✺
11.11.22	Birmingham City - Sunderland	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
15.10.22	Sunderland - Wigan Athletic	2:1
English League One
26.02.22	Wigan Athletic - Sunderland	0:3
English League Cup
21.09.21	Wigan Athletic - Sunderland	0:2
English League One
07.08.21	Sunderland - Wigan Athletic	2:1
13.04.21	Wigan Athletic - Sunderland	2:1
05.12.20	Sunderland - Wigan Athletic	0:1
English Premier League
19.01.13	Wigan Athletic - Sunderland	2:3

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