Match Info
I Liqa - Round 27Date: 22 May 2026, Friday
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 |
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Mingachevir |
|
Səbail |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
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 Watch |
 |
2.28 |
3.2 |
2.78 |
|
 |
2.27 |
2.93 |
2.92 |
|
 |
2.34 |
2.94 |
3.02 |
Watch |
 |
2.25 |
2.88 |
2.9 |
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 |
2.22 |
3.2 |
3.05 |
Watch |
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.27 ↓
(2.28) |
3.03 ↓
(3.2) |
2.93 ↑
(2.78) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
- The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Mingachevir
39.6% | Draw
29.7% | Səbail
30.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mingachevir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)Səbail has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mingachevir than the current prediction. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Səbail than the current prediction. (+0.6%)Mingachevir - Səbail Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 14', 1 - 0, Bayramov E. ⚽,
- 29', 2 - 0, Mustafayev E. ⚽,
- 42', 2 - 1, Safarov Q. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 53', 3 - 1, Eyubov A. ⚽,
- 77', Mammadli F. 🟥,
- 85', Rzayev L. 🟨,
- 90+2', 4 - 1, Quliyev K. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
Recent performances by Mingachevir have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).Səbail is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins). The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Mingachevir won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1.5).Including home match between the teams, Mingachevir won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 3 | Sabail | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 7 |
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| 8 | Mingachevir | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 1 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
