Match Info

I Lyga - Round 20

Date: 16 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Kretinga Stadium (Kretinga)

Where to Watch on TV:


Latvia	Futbols TV


	Minija Kretinga		Atmosfera Mažeikiai

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.4	3
	2.28	3.3	2.72	Watch
	2.31	3.25	2.73
	2.37	3.46	2.66	Watch
	2.27	3.45	2.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (2.11)	3.37 ↓ (3.6)	2.76 ↓ (2.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Minija Kretinga
40.2%

Draw
26.9%

Atmosfera Mažeikiai
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

25.1%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

26.2%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Minija Kretinga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Atmosfera Mažeikiai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minija Kretinga than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atmosfera Mažeikiai than the current prediction. (-2%)

Minija Kretinga - Atmosfera Mažeikiai Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Atmosfera (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
2. Gaudiesius V. (G) 12. Baya T. 43. Diawara B. 15. Diawara M. 17. Ellah C. 26. Genutis N. 25. Gunji K. 23. Jankauskas J. 7. Kasparavicius J. (C) 5. Kirjanov E. 9. Velyvis M.	1. Juska L. (G) 4. Aderounmu K. 21. Balde U. 15. Bawa M. 17. Fujiyoshi M. 11. Gineitis D. (C) 14. Gritkus E. 5. Kazbaras M. 23. Mantinis K. 6. Pilipavicius A. 71. Seki K.
Substitutes
20. Galita A. 3. Jakumas L. 21. Kazlauskas V. 4. Martinkus A. 8. Pipiras D. 30. Sabitu T. 29. Sangare M. 6. Sidibe M. A. 1. Tek D. A. (G)	8. Andriejauskas A. 10. Funami Y. 7. Horikoshi T. 33. Lopez K. (G) 9. Najulis K. 19. Oh Se-Sim 30. Patella S. R. 20. Srederis N. 2. Stasys M. 3. Ugochukwu Ihekuna M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
35', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', 0 - 1, ⚽,
68', 🟨,
72', 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Minija won 3.

Recent performances by Minija have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Atmosfera is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Atmosfera may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Minija won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:9. (average 1.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Minija won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1.6:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Minija Kretinga
Lithuanian Division 2
08.08.25	Nevėžis - Minija Kretinga	1:3 ✺
02.08.25	Minija Kretinga - Tauras Tauragė	1:2 ✺
27.07.25	Neptūnas - Minija Kretinga	0:1 ✺
22.07.25	Minija Kretinga - Babrungas Plungė	0:1 ✺
27.06.25	BE1 NFA Kaunas - Minija Kretinga	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.5 WLWLT
- Atmosfera Mažeikiai
Lithuanian Division 2
09.08.25	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - FA Šiauliai B	4:1 ✺
03.08.25	Panevėžys 2 - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	0:2 ✺
27.07.25	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Hegelmann Litauen 2	2:2 ✺
22.07.25	Kauno Žalgiris 2 - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	1:3 ✺
28.06.25	BFA Vilnius - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
19.04.25	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Minija Kretinga	0:1
02.11.24	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Minija Kretinga	2:1
15.06.24	Minija Kretinga - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	3:1
04.11.22	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Minija Kretinga	0:2
02.07.22	Minija Kretinga - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	0:2
07.08.21	Minija Kretinga - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	2:3
03.10.20	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Minija Kretinga	0:4

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