Match Info

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday


	Minija Kretinga		Kauno Žalgiris

	1	X	2
	5.7	4.3	1.4
	5.7	4.75	1.45	Watch
	6.14	4.4	1.39
	5.8	4.5	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.84 ↑ (5.7)	4.49 ↓ (4.75)	1.42 ↓ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Minija Kretinga
15.6%

Draw
20.2%

Kauno Žalgiris
64.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.3%

19.6%

64.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18%

17.7%

58%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Minija Kretinga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Kauno Žalgiris has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minija Kretinga than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kauno Žalgiris than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kauno Žalgiris, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

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Last Results with these Odds

Kauno Žalgiris - the odds 1.45 are the expected chance of winning is 64.12%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Minija Kretinga
Lithuanian Division 2
02.10.26	Minija Kretinga - Kauno Žalgiris 2	5:0 ✺
19.09.26	Minija Kretinga - Neptūnas	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Dainava Alytus - Minija Kretinga	0:3 ✺
05.09.26	Minija Kretinga - Transinvest 2	3:0 ✺
Lithuanian Cup
01.09.26	Minija Kretinga - Dainava Alytus	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWWWW
- FK Kauno Žalgiris
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
20.09.26	FA Šiauliai - Kauno Žalgiris	0:2 ✺
16.09.26	Žalgiris - Kauno Žalgiris	3:2 ✺
13.09.26	Panevėžys - Kauno Žalgiris	0:1 ✺
09.09.26	Kauno Žalgiris - Sūduva Marijampolė	5:1 ✺
06.09.26	Kauno Žalgiris - Džiugas Telšiai	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Cup
25.06.19	Minija Kretinga - Kauno Žalgiris	1:2

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