The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Minnesota United 48.6%
Draw 23.8%
DC United 27.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54.9%
22.9%
22.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56.5%
22.3%
21.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Minnesota United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Minnesota United's form might have worsened.
DC United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting DC United's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minnesota United than the current prediction. (+7.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Minnesota United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for DC United than the current prediction. (-6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for DC United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
25%
8.3%
Minnesota United - DC United Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Minnesota will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). DC United will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%). Confidence interval (95%) for Minnesota: 40% – 93.4%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
97. St.Clair D. (G) 37. Clark C. 67. Harvey C. 15. Boxall M. 4. Tapias M. 2. Padelford D. 21. Hlongwane B. 31. Dotson H. 17. Lod R. 11. Jeong S. 14. Oluwaseyi T.
24. Bono A. (G) 22. Herrera A. 4. Peltola M. 97. McVey C. 11. Dajome C. 43. Klich M. 14. Rodriguez M. 7. Santos P. 8. Stroud J. 21. Ku-DiPietro T. 20. Benteke C.
Substitutes
99. Adebayo-Smith J. 25. Bran Flores A. J. 23. Duggan M. 7. Fragapane F. 44. Nyeman M. 22. Pukki T. 8. Rosales J. 30. Smir A. (G) 3. Valentin Z.
45. Akinmboni M. 3. Bartlett L. 10. Gabriel Pirani 18. Garay J. 25. Hopkins J. 30. Sargis H. 16. Tubbs G. 56. Zamudio L. (G)
Coaches
Ramsay E.
Lesesne T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Benteke C. ⚽, Dajome C. (A),
32', 1 - 1, Oluwaseyi T. ⚽, Dotson H. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
49', Boxall M. 🟨,
59', Hlongwane B. ↓, Rosales J. ↑,
59', Clark C. ↓, Fragapane F. ↑,
60', Ku-DiPietro T. ↓, Gabriel Pirani ↑,
60', Peltola M. ↓, Bartlett L. ↑,
68', Klich M. ↓, Hopkins J. ↑,
73', Padelford D. ↓, Pukki T. ↑,
80', 2 - 1, Pukki T. ⚽, Lod R. (A), Boxall M. (A2)
86', Rodriguez M. 🟨,
90', 2 - 2, Herrera A. ⚽, Benteke C. (A), Rodriguez M. (A2)
90+1', 2 - 3, Benteke C. ⚽, Bartlett L. (A),
90+3', Stroud J. ↓, Tubbs G. ↑,
Preview
This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 12).
Minnesota has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
DC United is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Minnesota will have a small advantage in this match.
There will not play in Minnesota: Bacharach Capdevila H.
(Injury)
Irwin C.
(Injury)
Trapp W.
(Injury)
There will not play in DC United: Antley C.
(Injury)
Birnbaum S.
(Injury)
Canouse R.
(Injury)
Fletcher K.
(Injury)
Hopkins J.
(Injury)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Minnesota won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-5.
Including matches at home between the teams Minnesota won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-0.