The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Minnesota United 57.6%
Draw 23.2%
Austin FC 19.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54.6%
24.2%
21.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55%
24%
21%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Minnesota United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
Austin FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Minnesota United than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Austin FC than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
87.5%
12.5%
0%
Minnesota United - Austin FC Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -0.5 - Austin (4.10) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Minnesota United will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%). Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Austin (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Callender D. (G) 28. Diaz J. 23. Duggan M. 5. Romero N. 2. Padelford D. 8. Chancalay T. 25. Triantis N. 30. Gene O. 13. Markanich A. 9. Yeboah K. 26. Pereyra J. (C)
1. Stuver B. (G) 3. Desler M. 5. Svatok O. 4. Hines-Ike B. 29. Guilherme Biro 30. Rosales J. 6. Sanchez I. (C) 11. Torres F. 21. Ramirez C. 17. Gallagher J. 10. Uzuni M.
Substitutes
15. Boxall M. 33. Chandler K. 29. Dieng M. 7. Fitz D. 18. Gonzalez M. 10. Rodriguez J. 1. Smir A. (G) 27. Taylor D. 20. Trapp W.
15. Bell J. 20. Dubersarsky N. 19. Fodrey C. 23. Kolmanic Z. 12. Las D. (G) 8. Pereira D. 14. Sabovic B. 9. Vazquez B. 33. Wolff O.
Coaches
Knowles C.
Estevez N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Uzuni M. (Penalty Awarded),
21', Yeboah K. (Penalty Awarded),
27', Yeboah K. (Penalty Awarded),
29', Diaz J. 🟨,
40', Triantis N. 🟨,
42', Chancalay T. 🟨,
44', Hines-Ike B. ↓, Bell J. ↑,
45+2', Torres F. 🟨,
45+11', Pereyra J. 🟨,
45+12', Gallagher J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
47', Gene O. 🟨,
63', Chancalay T. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
63', Triantis N. ↓, Trapp W. ↑,
69', 1 - 1, Markanich A. ⚽, Rodriguez J. (A),
70', Sanchez I. ↓, Pereira D. ↑,
70', Gallagher J. ↓, Wolff O. ↑,
77', 2 - 1, Pereyra J. ⚽, Rodriguez J. (A),
79', 2 - 2, Ramirez C. ⚽, Torres F. (A),
82', Padelford D. ↓, Boxall M. ↑,
84', Ramirez C. ↓, Vazquez B. ↑,
88', Gene O. ↓, Gonzalez M. ↑,
90+3', Bell J. ↓, Kolmanic Z. ↑,
Preview
A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 13).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Minnesota won 1.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Austin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Minnesota is considered a favorite.
There will not play in Minnesota: Gressel J.
(Toe Injury)
Harvey C.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Hlongwane B.
(Personal Reasons)
Rodriguez J.
(Inactive)
Stroud P.
(Lower-Body Injury)
There will not play in Austin: Taylor R.
(Knee Injury)
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Minnesota won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 16:16. (average 1.2:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Minnesota won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1:1.4).
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Callender D. (G) 
Diaz J. 
Duggan M. 
Romero N. 
Triantis N. 
Gene O. 
Yeboah K. 
Desler M. 
Svatok O. 
Guilherme Biro 
Rosales J. 
Sanchez I. (C) 
Torres F. 
Gallagher J. 
Uzuni M. 
Boxall M. 
Dieng M. 
Fitz D. 
Bell J. 
Kolmanic Z. 
Pereira D. 
Sabovic B. 
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