What is the expert prediction for Minnesota United vs Austin FC?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Minnesota United vs Austin FC. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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Minnesota United vs Austin FC Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Sunday, May 10, 2026)

Match Info

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday


	Minnesota United		Austin FC

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.8	4.75	Watch
	1.7	3.9	4.4
	1.68	3.95	4.95
	1.7	4.07	4.77
	1.68	3.96	4.75	Watch
	1.67	3.7	4.6
	1.71	4.05	4.99	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.73)	3.92 ↑ (3.91)	4.74 ↑ (4.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Minnesota United
56%

Draw
24.1%

Austin FC
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.6%

24.2%

21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55%

24%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Minnesota United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Austin FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Minnesota United than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Austin FC than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

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Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Minnesota won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Austin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Minnesota is a strong favorite.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Minnesota won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 16:16. (average 1.2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Minnesota won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1:1.4).

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Outrights of MLS for now

Minnesota United: 2.77% Austin FC: 0.86%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Minnesota United
MLS
02.05.26	Columbus Crew - Minnesota United	2:3 ✺
US Open Cup
28.04.26	San Jose Earthquakes - Minnesota United	4:2 ✺
MLS
25.04.26	Minnesota United - Los Angeles	0:1 ✺
22.04.26	FC Dallas - Minnesota United	0:1 ✺
18.04.26	Minnesota United - Portland Timbers	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WLLWW
- Austin FC
MLS
03.05.26	Austin FC - St. Louis City	2:0 ✺
25.04.26	Austin FC - Houston Dynamo	2:0 ✺
22.04.26	San Jose Earthquakes - Austin FC	5:1 ✺
18.04.26	Toronto FC - Austin FC	3:3 ✺
US Open Cup
14.04.26	Louisville City - Austin FC	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

MLS
21.02.26	Austin FC - Minnesota United	2:2
US Open Cup
17.09.25	Minnesota United - Austin FC	1:2 ET
MLS
24.05.25	Minnesota United - Austin FC	1:1
03.05.25	Austin FC - Minnesota United	0:3
22.06.24	Minnesota United - Austin FC	0:1
24.02.24	Austin FC - Minnesota United	1:2
08.07.23	Minnesota United - Austin FC	1:4

Minnesota United - Austin FC: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide