Match Info

MLS

Date: 10 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Allianz Field (Saint Paul, MN)

Referee: Dujic F. (Can)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Usa	MLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC


	Minnesota United		Inter Miami

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.6	2.88	Watch
	2.2	3.6	2.95
	2.35	3.75	2.9	Watch
	2.47	3.75	2.94
	2.33	3.67	2.87	Watch
	2.25	3.4	3
	2.33	3.72	2.82	Watch
	2.35	3.75	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↓ (2.58)	3.66 ↑ (3.59)	2.91 ↑ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Minnesota United
41%

Draw
26.1%

Inter Miami
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.8%

26.5%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

26.6%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Minnesota United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Inter Miami has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Minnesota United than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter Miami than the current prediction. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
53.3%	13.3%	33.3%

Minnesota United - Inter Miami Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Minnesota will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). Inter Miami will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Minnesota: 31.2% – 83%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

DNB - Inter Miami (2.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - Inter Miami (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Minnesota United will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Minnesota (votes: 3 - 60%). Inter Miami (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
97. St.Clair D. (G) 21. Hlongwane B. 28. Diaz J. 15. Boxall M. 5. Romero N. 13. Markanich A. 26. Pereyra J. 67. Harvey C. 17. Lod R. 20. Trapp W. 14. Oluwaseyi T.	19. Ustari O. (G) 57. Weigandt M. 2. Lujan G. 32. Allen N. 18. Alba J. 42. Bright Y. 55. Redondo Solari F. 8. Segovia T. 5. Busquets S. 30. Cremaschi B. 10. Messi L. (C)
Substitutes
23. Duggan M. 24. Gressel J. 7. Jeong S. 22. Jung Ho-yeon 8. Rosales J. 19. Shashoua S. 1. Smir A. (G) 27. Taylor D. 9. Yeboah K.	21. Allende T. 6. Aviles T. 37. Falcon M. 17. Fray I. 22. Leo Afonso 14. Martinez D. 81. Morales S. 29. Obando A. 34. Rios R. (G)
Coaches
Ramsay E.	Mascherano J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
32', 1 - 0, Hlongwane B. ⚽, Harvey C. (A), Pereyra J. (A2)
45', Boxall M. 🟨,
45+2', 2 - 0, Markanich A. ⚽, Romero N. (A), Boxall M. (A2)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
48', 2 - 1, Messi L. ⚽, Alba J. (A), Allen N. (A2)
49', Markanich A. ↓, Rosales J. ↑,
49', Redondo Solari F. ↓, Allende T. ↑,
58', Diaz J. ↓, Yeboah K. ↑,
68', 3 - 1, Weigandt M. (Own goal),
70', 4 - 1, Lod R. ⚽, Oluwaseyi T. (A), Romero N. (A2)
71', Oluwaseyi T. ↓, Jeong S. ↑,
71', Hlongwane B. ↓, Gressel J. ↑,
76', Segovia T. ↓, Aviles T. ↑,
76', Weigandt M. ↓, Fray I. ↑,
76', Bright Y. ↓, Leo Afonso ↑,
80', Lujan G. 🟨,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Inter Miami may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Minnesota will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Minnesota: Dotson H. (Knee Injury) Gene O. (Ankle Injury) Keller K. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Inter Miami: Callender D. (Groin Injury) Ruiz D. (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in Minnesota: Yeboah K. (Ankle Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Minnesota won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Minnesota United
US Open Cup
07.05.25	Louisville City - Minnesota United	0:1 ✺
MLS
03.05.25	Austin FC - Minnesota United	0:3 ✺
27.04.25	Minnesota United - Vancouver Whitecaps	1:3 ✺
19.04.25	Minnesota United - FC Dallas	0:0 ✺
12.04.25	Toronto FC - Minnesota United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWLTT
- Inter Miami
MLS
03.05.25	Inter Miami - New York Red Bulls	4:1 ✺
CONCACAF Champions Cup
30.04.25	Inter Miami - Vancouver Whitecaps	1:3 ✺
MLS
27.04.25	Inter Miami - FC Dallas	3:4 ✺
CONCACAF Champions Cup
24.04.25	Vancouver Whitecaps - Inter Miami	2:0 ✺
MLS
19.04.25	Columbus Crew - Inter Miami	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

MLS
25.06.22	Inter Miami - Minnesota United	2:1

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