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Current Win Probability
New York City 38.2%
Draw 26.6%
Columbus Crew 35.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.8%
25.8%
30.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.1%
26%
30.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
New York City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that New York City's form might have worsened.
Columbus Crew has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York City than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for New York City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Columbus Crew than the current prediction. (-5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
57.1%
14.3%
28.6%
New York City - Columbus Crew Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. NY City will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Columbus will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
49. Freese M. (G) 24. Gray T. 13. Thiago Martins (C) 34. Raul Gustavo 2. Cavallo N. 5. Trewin K. 55. Parks K. 26. Ojeda A. 10. Moralez M. 17. Wolf H. 7. Mercau N.
28. Schulte P. (G) 31. Moreira S. 4. Camacho R. 25. Zawadzki S. (C) 2. Herrera A. 30. Picard H. 20. Gomes A. 7. Chambost D. 27. Arfsten M. 10. Rossi D. 16. Habroune T.
Substitutes
29. Carrizo M. 87. Farnos A. 88. Jones M. 15. Pierre K. 18. Ranjitsingh G. (G) 99. Reid S. 30. Romero T. (G) 32. Shore J. 19. Tanasijevic S.
46. Adams C. 90. Akhundzade N. 17. Bangoura S. 21. Cheberko Y. 23. Farsi M. 8. Gazdag D. 1. Hagen N. (G) 12. Ruvalcaba C. 14. Sejdic A.
Coaches
Jansen P.
Rydstrom H.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Wolf H. ⚽, Ojeda A. (A),
16', 2 - 0, Wolf H. ⚽, Mercau N. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
63', Habroune T. 🟨,
66', 3 - 0, Wolf H. ⚽, Mercau N. (A),
68', Gomes A. ↓, Bangoura S. ↑,
68', Herrera A. ↓, Farsi M. ↑,
68', Habroune T. ↓, Gazdag D. ↑,
79', Chambost D. ↓, Sejdic A. ↑,
79', Picard H. ↓, Akhundzade N. ↑,
85', Wolf H. ↓, Jones M. ↑,
85', Parks K. ↓, Shore J. ↑,
88', Ojeda A. ↓, Farnos A. ↑,
90+1', Moralez M. ↓, Carrizo M. ↑,
90+2', Mercau N. ↓, Reid S. ↑,
Preview
The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 11 and 12)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NY City won 1.
NY City has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Columbus has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
NY City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Columbus has had a series of home games.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in NY City: Baiera D.
(Knee Injury)
Martinez A.
(Knee Injury)
O'Toole K.
(Leg Injury)
Talles Magno
(Injury)
There will not play in Columbus: Abou Ali W.
(Knee Injury)
Thiare J.
(Lower-Body Injury)
There are questionable in Columbus: Gomes A.
(Leg Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, NY City won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 30:29. (average 1.5:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, NY City won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:9. (average 1.9:0.9).
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Freese M. (G) 
Gray T. 
Thiago Martins (C) 
Trewin K. 
Ojeda A. 
Wolf H. 
Moreira S. 
Camacho R. 
Gomes A. 
Rossi D. 
Farnos A. 
Jones M. 
Ranjitsingh G. (G) 
Romero T. (G) 
Tanasijevic S. 
Akhundzade N. 
Bangoura S. 
Cheberko Y. 
Farsi M. 
Gazdag D. 
Hagen N. (G) 
Jansen P. 
Rydstrom H. 
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