Match Info

MLS

Date: 14 May 2025, Wednesday

Location: Audi Field (Washington, DC)

Referee: Villarreal A. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Usa	MLS Season Pass
World	EA Sports FC


	DC United		New York City

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.8	3	Watch
	2.15	3.7	2.95
	2.2	3.75	3.1	Watch
	2.22	3.83	3.13
	2.18	3.76	3.06	Watch
	2.25	3.6	2.88
	2.2	3.74	3.03	Watch
	2.2	3.75	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (2.33)	3.74 ↑ (3.69)	3.03 ↑ (2.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

DC United
43.3%

Draw
25.4%

New York City
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

25.7%

33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

25.1%

32.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

DC United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

New York City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for DC United than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York City than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	21.4%	64.3%

DC United - New York City Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. DC United will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). NY City will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for NY City: 40% – 93.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - DC United (1.71) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.75 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - NY City (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH +1 - NY City (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): New York City will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. DC United (votes: 2 - 22.2%). NY City (votes: 7 - 77.8%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Barraza L. (G) 16. Tubbs G. 3. Bartlett L. 15. Rowles K. 22. Herrera A. 6. Boris Enow 4. Peltola M. 28. Schnegg D. 11. Leal R. 20. Benteke C. (C) 77. Kijima H.	49. Freese M. (G) 24. Gray T. 80. Haak J. 13. Thiago Martins (C) 5. Risa B. 32. Shore J. 8. Perea A. 10. Moralez M. 11. Fernandez J. 16. Martinez A. 17. Wolf H.
Substitutes
12. Antley C. 99. Barajas F. 18. Dodson D. 25. Hopkins J. 1. Kim J. (G) 17. Murrell J. 23. Servania B. 8. Stroud J. 44. Zouhir R.	9. Bakrar M. 29. Carrizo M. 2. Cavallo N. 99. Garfield Reid S. 35. Ilenic M. 26. Ojeda A. 21. O'Neill A. 30. Romero T. (G) 19. Tanasijevic S.
Coaches
Lesesne T.	Jansen P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Benteke C. ↓, Murrell J. ↑,
23', Rowles K. 🟨,
34', Boris Enow 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Moralez M. ↓, O'Neill A. ↑,
57', Perea A. 🟨,
59', Leal R. ↓, Zouhir R. ↑,
59', Kijima H. ↓, Stroud J. ↑,
59', Boris Enow ↓, Servania B. ↑,
65', Shore J. ↓, Carrizo M. ↑,
73', Risa B. ↓, Cavallo N. ↑,
73', Gray T. ↓, Ilenic M. ↑,
81', Peltola M. ↓, Hopkins J. ↑,
81', Wolf H. ↓, Ojeda A. ↑,
87', Tubbs G. 🟨,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 12 and 10)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, DC United won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

NY City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in DC United: Badji D. (Thigh Injury) Gabriel Pirani (Knee Injury) MacNaughton L. (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in NY City: Jones M. (Broken Leg) O'Toole K. (Leg Injury) Parks K. (Foot Injury) Risa B. (Leg Injury)

There are questionable in DC United: Hopkins J. (Ankle Injury) Peglow (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in NY City: Garfield Reid S. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, DC United won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 23:37. (average 1.2:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, DC United won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:11. (average 1.4:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- DC United
MLS
10.05.25	Toronto FC - DC United	2:0 ✺
US Open Cup
06.05.25	DC United - Charleston Battery	2:0 ET ✺
MLS
03.05.25	DC United - Colorado Rapids	2:1 ✺
26.04.25	Philadelphia Union - DC United	3:0 ✺
19.04.25	New York Red Bulls - DC United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 LWWLW
- New York City FC
MLS
10.05.25	New York City - CF Montréal	0:1 ✺
US Open Cup
07.05.25	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - New York City	1:0 ✺
MLS
04.05.25	New York City - Cincinnati	1:0 ✺
26.04.25	Toronto FC - New York City	0:1 ✺
19.04.25	New England Revolution - New York City	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

MLS
14.09.24	DC United - New York City	1:1
20.04.24	New York City - DC United	2:0
07.10.23	DC United - New York City	2:0
18.03.23	New York City - DC United	3:2
31.08.22	New York City - DC United	1:2
18.05.22	DC United - New York City	0:2
23.10.21	New York City - DC United	6:0

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