Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 13

Date: 9 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Parque Palermo (Montevideo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Antel TV, Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Miramar Misiones		Tacuarembó

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.80	2.75
	2.33	2.88	2.90
	2.71	2.83	2.92
	2.66	2.86	2.91	Watch
	2.60	2.80	2.85
	2.54	2.78	2.78	Watch
	2.50	2.80	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↑ (2.35)	2.82 ↓ (2.9)	2.84 ↓ (2.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Miramar Misiones
35.8%

Draw
32.2%

Tacuarembó
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.5%

31.2%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

30.7%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Miramar Misiones has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Tacuarembó has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miramar Misiones than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tacuarembó than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Miramar Misiones - Tacuarembó Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
33', 0 - 1, Marta M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
77', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 13 and 9).

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

Tacuarembó may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Miramar Misiones won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:5. (average 3.3:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Miramar Misiones won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 3.5:2).

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Miramar	21	6	7	8	23:26	-3	25
13	Tacuarembo	21	6	6	9	16:23	-7	24

Last Results with these Odds

Tacuarembó - the odds 2.98 are the expected chance of winning is 30.34%, but this team recently wins 8% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Miramar Misiones
Uruguayan Segunda Division
01.08.26	Plaza Colonia - Miramar Misiones	3:0 ✺
26.07.26	Miramar Misiones - La Luz	0:1 ✺
12.07.26	Cerrito - Miramar Misiones	1:0 ✺
06.07.26	Miramar Misiones - Atenas de San Carlos	1:1 ✺
27.06.26	Paysandú - Miramar Misiones	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLLTW
- Tacuarembó FC
Uruguayan Segunda Division
02.08.26	Tacuarembó - River Plate Montevideo	1:0 ✺
25.07.26	Tacuarembó - Plaza Colonia	0:2 ✺
13.07.26	La Luz - Tacuarembó	2:0 ✺
05.07.26	Tacuarembó - Cerrito	0:0 ✺
27.06.26	Atenas de San Carlos - Tacuarembó	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
08.10.23	Tacuarembó - Miramar Misiones	1:3
20.05.23	Miramar Misiones - Tacuarembó	3:2
25.03.23	Miramar Misiones - Tacuarembó	4:2

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