Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 11

Date: 26 July 2026, Sunday

Location: Parque Palermo (Montevideo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Antel TV, Disney+
Usa	SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	Disney+


	Miramar Misiones		La Luz

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.70	2.80	2.55
	2.78	2.78	2.58
	2.89	2.82	2.69
	2.86	2.86	2.7	Watch
	2.8	2.8	2.6
	2.73	2.79	2.58
	2.75	2.75	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↑ (2.75)	2.8 ↓ (2.9)	2.61 ↑ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Miramar Misiones
32.6%

Draw
32.5%

La Luz
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.5%

30.8%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

30.1%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Miramar Misiones has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

La Luz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miramar Misiones than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for La Luz than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Miramar Misiones - La Luz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 10).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Miramar Misiones may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Miramar Misiones won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

Including home match between the teams, Miramar Misiones won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	La Luz	21	7	6	8	19:24	-5	27
12	Miramar	21	6	7	8	23:26	-3	25

Last Results with these Odds

La Luz - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 36.74%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Miramar Misiones
Uruguayan Segunda Division
12.07.26	Cerrito - Miramar Misiones	1:0 ✺
06.07.26	Miramar Misiones - Atenas de San Carlos	1:1 ✺
27.06.26	Paysandú - Miramar Misiones	2:3 ✺
19.06.26	Miramar Misiones - Huracán Paso de la Arena	0:1 ✺
13.06.26	Uruguay Montevideo - Miramar Misiones	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LTWLW
- La Luz FC
Uruguayan Segunda Division
13.07.26	La Luz - Tacuarembó	2:0 ✺
04.07.26	Plaza Colonia - La Luz	1:0 ✺
28.06.26	River Plate Montevideo - La Luz	0:0 ✺
21.06.26	La Luz - Cerrito	2:0 ✺
14.06.26	Atenas de San Carlos - La Luz	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
29.07.22	Miramar Misiones - La Luz	1:1
07.05.22	La Luz - Miramar Misiones	3:1

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