Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga2 - Round 12

Date: 26 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Anduva (Miranda de Ebro)

Referee: Gonzalez Diaz M. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, Gol Stadium, LaLiga Hypermotion 2, LaLiga TV Bar 2, Movistar Plus+ 1
Venezuela	Inter
World	DirecTV Sports


	Mirandés		Cartagena

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.1	6	Watch
	1.73	3.1	5.25
	1.78	3.25	5
	1.77	3.27	6.01
	1.82	3.26	5.2	Watch
	1.79	3.32	5.2	Watch
	1.78	3.25	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↑ (1.75)	3.22 ↓ (3.46)	5.38 ↑ (4.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mirandés
53.2%

Draw
29.3%

Cartagena
17.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.4%

27%

19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.4%

25.6%

18.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mirandés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Cartagena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mirandés than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cartagena than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	10%	20%

Mirandés - Cartagena Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Mirandés will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Cartagena will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mirandés: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Fernandez R. (G) 2. Rincon Lumbreras H. 22. Gutierrez J. 4. Egiluz U. 15. Tomeo P. 3. Alonso J. 10. Reina A. (C) 6. Gorrotxategi J. 19. Lachuer M. 9. Panichelli J. 17. Izeta	1. Cunat P. (G) 19. Aguirregabiria M. 22. Olivas K. 4. Alcala P. (C) 24. Sipcic N. 12. Vukcevic A. 8. Munoz L. 17. Andy 18. Musto D. 10. Escriche D. 7. Valles G.
Substitutes
26. Bassinga A. 28. Dadie Izagirre A. 33. Gonzalez V. P. 31. Gorrin A. (G) 8. Homenchenko S. 1. Lopez L. (G) 20. Martin A. 21. Postigo S. 27. Roca J. 5. Tachi	34. Gonzalez H. 20. Izquierdo J. 6. Mini 2. Moreno J. 35. Nono (G) 9. Ortuno A. 30. Reyes J. (G) 3. Rios Reina J. 37. Roman P. 23. Teguia C.
Coaches
Lisci A.	Jandro

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Izeta ⚽, Gutierrez J. (A),
26', 2 - 0, Panichelli J. ⚽, Gorrotxategi J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Vukcevic A. ↓, Izquierdo J. ↑,
61', 3 - 0, Panichelli J. ⚽, Rincon Lumbreras H. (A),
62', Sipcic N. ↓, Teguia C. ↑,
62', Musto D. ↓, Gonzalez H. ↑,
62', Escriche D. ↓, Ortuno A. ↑,
64', 3 - 1, Aguirregabiria M. ⚽, Munoz L. (A),
74', Alonso J. ↓, Gonzalez V. P. ↑,
74', Izeta ↓, Roca J. ↑,
81', Munoz L. ↓, Roman P. ↑,
83', Reina A. ↓, Martin A. ↑,
86', Lachuer M. ↓, Homenchenko S. ↑,
90+5', Alcala P. 🟨,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 8 and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mirandés won 3.

Recent matches Mirandés is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Cartagena is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Mirandés could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Mirandés is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Mirandés won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13:11 (average 1.4:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Mirandés won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10:4 (average 2.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Mirandés
Spanish LaLiga2
22.10.24	Real Oviedo - Mirandés	4:1 ✺
19.10.24	Mirandés - Eibar	1:0 ✺
13.10.24	Burgos - Mirandés	0:1 ✺
05.10.24	Mirandés - Granada	0:1 ✺
28.09.24	Mirandés - Huesca	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 LWWLW
- FC Cartagena
Spanish LaLiga2
23.10.24	Cartagena - Elche	0:0 ✺
18.10.24	Córdoba - Cartagena	2:1 ✺
12.10.24	Cartagena - Ferrol	0:1 ✺
05.10.24	Tenerife - Cartagena	2:0 ✺
30.09.24	Racing Santander - Cartagena	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
11.02.24	Cartagena - Mirandés	1:0
29.10.23	Mirandés - Cartagena	2:1
09.04.23	Cartagena - Mirandés	1:0
21.11.22	Mirandés - Cartagena	2:1
12.03.22	Mirandés - Cartagena	2:1
19.12.21	Cartagena - Mirandés	3:0
25.01.21	Cartagena - Mirandés	0:2

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