Match Info

LaLiga2 - Promotion - Play Offs - Final

Date: 15 June 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Anduva (Miranda de Ebro)

Referee: Galech I. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Mirandés		Real Oviedo

	1	X	2
	2.05	2.9	4.33	Watch
	2.15	2.95	3.4
				Watch
	2.16	2.95	4.4
				Watch
	2.2	3	3.5
	2.16	2.94	4.19	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.22)	2.95 ↓ (3.2)	3.96 ↑ (3.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mirandés
44.1%

Draw
32.1%

Real Oviedo
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

29.8%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

30.5%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mirandés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Real Oviedo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirandés than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Oviedo than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
53.3%	46.7%	0%

Mirandés - Real Oviedo Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Mirandés will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 46.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mirandés: 28.1% – 78.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Mirandés (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 6 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Oviedo (2.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DNB - Oviedo (2.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Oviedo (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Mirandés (votes: 3 - 25%). Oviedo (votes: 3 - 25%). Tie (votes: 6 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Fernandez R. (G) 2. Rincon H. 15. Tomeo P. 4. Egiluz U. 33. Parada V. 29. Benito I. 10. Reina A. (C) 6. Gorrotxategi J. 19. Lachuer M. 9. Panichelli J. 17. Izeta	13. Escandell A. (G) 5. Vidal N. 15. Luengo O. 4. Costas D. 3. Alhassane R. 23. Hassan H. 6. Sibo K. 12. Calvo D. (C) 11. Colombatto S. 14. Paraschiv D. 16. Chaira I.
Substitutes
3. Alonso J. 7. Butzke A. 11. Calvo A. 28. Dadie Izagirre A. 8. Garcia C. 31. Gorrin A. (G) 22. Gutierrez J. 1. Lopez L. (G) 20. Martin A. 21. Postigo S. 27. Roca J. 5. Tachi	24. Ahijado L. 9. Alemao 1. Braat Q. (G) 27. Cardero A. 18. de la Fuente P. 17. de la Hoz C. 30. Marco Esteban 7. Moyano F. 21. Pomares C. 10. Portillo F. 20. Seoane J. 19. Vinas F.
Coaches
Lisci A.	Paunovic V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Reina A. ⚽, Benito I. (A),
45+2', Luengo O. 🟨,
45+4', Vidal N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
68', Paraschiv D. ↓, Vinas F. ↑,
76', Izeta ↓, Roca J. ↑,
77', Chaira I. ↓, Cardero A. ↑,
78', Alemao 🟨,
80', Colombatto S. 🟨,
83', de la Fuente P. 🟨,
84', Rincon H. 🟨,
85', Colombatto S. (Pen),
89', Colombatto S. ↓, Alemao ↑,
89', Vidal N. ↓, Ahijado L. ↑,
89', Hassan H. ↓, de la Fuente P. ↑,
90+3', Benito I. ↓, Tachi ↑,
90+3', Lachuer M. ↓, Alonso J. ↑,
90+3', Reina A. ↓, Postigo S. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mirandés won 3.

Mirandés is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Oviedo is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Mirandés may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Mirandés might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Oviedo: Lemos A. (Knee Injury)

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Mirandés won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 17:27. (average 0.9:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Mirandés won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.2:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Mirandés
Spanish LaLiga2
12.06.25	Mirandés - Racing Santander	4:1 ✺
08.06.25	Racing Santander - Mirandés	3:3 ✺
01.06.25	Cartagena - Mirandés	1:3 ✺
25.05.25	Mirandés - Almería	0:0 ✺
19.05.25	Córdoba - Mirandés	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WTWTW
- Real Oviedo
Spanish LaLiga2
11.06.25	Real Oviedo - Almería	1:1 ✺
07.06.25	Almería - Real Oviedo	1:2 ✺
01.06.25	Real Oviedo - Cádiz	2:1 ✺
25.05.25	Tenerife - Real Oviedo	0:1 ✺
18.05.25	Real Oviedo - Zaragoza	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
08.03.25	Mirandés - Real Oviedo	1:0
22.10.24	Real Oviedo - Mirandés	4:1
14.04.24	Real Oviedo - Mirandés	1:1
26.11.23	Mirandés - Real Oviedo	2:1
04.03.23	Mirandés - Real Oviedo	1:0
26.11.22	Real Oviedo - Mirandés	1:0
30.04.22	Real Oviedo - Mirandés	3:0

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