Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 40

Date: 18 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere (Oviedo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Australia	beIN Connect
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
India	FanCode, FanCode, GXR World
Indonesia	beIN Connect, Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect
Mexico	Sky Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect
Spain	DAZN Espana, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion
Thailand	beIN Connect
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Real Oviedo		Zaragoza

	1	X	2
	2.2	3	3.5	Watch
	1.8	3.25	4.33
	2.18	3.15	3.45	Watch
	2.25	3.24	3.56
	2.21	3.18	3.52	Watch
	1.85	3.25	4.6
	2.23	3.05	3.55	Watch
	2.18	3.15	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↑ (1.82)	3.16 ↓ (3.35)	3.75 ↓ (4.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Oviedo
44.8%

Draw
30%

Zaragoza
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.7%

28.1%

20.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

27.6%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Oviedo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Real Oviedo's form might have worsened.

Zaragoza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Zaragoza's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Oviedo than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Oviedo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zaragoza than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Zaragoza, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	8.3%	4.2%

Real Oviedo - Zaragoza Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Real Oviedo will win (20 of 22 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.9% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Real Oviedo will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Escandell A. (G) 15. Luengo O. 4. Costas D. 12. Calvo D. 3. Alhassane R. 10. Portillo F. 6. Sibo K. 11. Colombatto S. 23. Hassan H. 8. Cazorla S. (C) 19. Vinas F.	13. Poussin G. (G) 14. Francho 24. Lopez L. 3. Jair 4. Tasende D. 20. Ares A. 16. Arriaga K. 21. Moya T. 33. Liso A. 29. Sans P. 7. Soberon M.
Substitutes
9. Alemao 1. Braat Q. (G) 27. Cardero A. 31. Chukwuma E. 18. de la Fuente P. 17. de la Hoz C. 35. Falah O. 30. Marco Esteban 7. Moyano F. 14. Paraschiv D. 21. Pomares C. 20. Seoane J.	23. Aketxe A. 11. Bazdar S. 40. Calavia C. (G) 19. Calero I. 5. Clemente E. 25. Femenias J. (G) 9. Gomez D. 12. Kosa S. 22. Mari A. 17. Nieto C. 34. Terrer L. 15. Vital B.
Coaches
Paunovic V.	Gabi

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Lopez L. ↓, Vital B. ↑,
30', Vinas F. ↓, Alemao ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', Arriaga K. 🟨,
61', Cazorla S. (Pen),
67', Hassan H. ↓, de la Fuente P. ↑,
67', Cazorla S. ↓, Cardero A. ↑,
68', Portillo F. ↓, Seoane J. ↑,
69', Soberon M. ↓, Gomez D. ↑,
69', Liso A. ↓, Aketxe A. ↑,
74', Tasende D. ↓, Clemente E. ↑,
82', Sans P. 🟨,
86', Colombatto S. ↓, Paraschiv D. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 0, de la Fuente P. ⚽, Paraschiv D. (A),

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 18).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oviedo won 3.

Oviedo is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Zaragoza has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Oviedo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Oviedo is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Oviedo: Ahijado L. (Muscle Injury) Lemos A. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Zaragoza: Bare K. (Calf Injury) Guti R. (Yellow Cards)

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Oviedo won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 24:25. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Oviedo won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:12. (average 1.3:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Real Oviedo - the odds 1.82 are the expected chance of winning is 51.73%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Oviedo
Spanish LaLiga2
11.05.25	Racing Santander - Real Oviedo	1:1 ✺
03.05.25	Huesca - Real Oviedo	1:2 ✺
26.04.25	Real Oviedo - Levante	1:0 ✺
20.04.25	Córdoba - Real Oviedo	0:0 ✺
12.04.25	Real Oviedo - Ferrol	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 TWWTW
- Real Zaragoza
Spanish LaLiga2
10.05.25	Zaragoza - Cartagena	3:2 ✺
04.05.25	Ferrol - Zaragoza	1:2 ✺
27.04.25	Zaragoza - Huesca	1:1 ✺
19.04.25	Levante - Zaragoza	5:2 ✺
12.04.25	Zaragoza - Eibar	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
17.12.24	Zaragoza - Real Oviedo	2:3
12.05.24	Real Oviedo - Zaragoza	1:0
06.11.23	Zaragoza - Real Oviedo	0:0
07.05.23	Real Oviedo - Zaragoza	2:1
09.10.22	Zaragoza - Real Oviedo	1:1
16.05.22	Real Oviedo - Zaragoza	3:3
02.10.21	Zaragoza - Real Oviedo	0:0

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