Match Info

Date: 27 May 2022, Friday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Anduva (Miranda de Ebro)


	Mirandés		Fuenlabrada

	1	X	2
	1.65	4.33	4.5	Watch
	1.63	3.9	4.33
	1.72	4	4.2
	1.6	4.3	4.5
	1.7	4.32	4.73
	1.91	3.5	3.8	Watch
	1.66	4.2	4.8	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (2.23)	4.08 ↑ (3.3)	4.41 ↑ (3.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mirandés
55.5%

Draw
23.1%

Fuenlabrada
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

28.2%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

28.9%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mirandés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mirandés's performance.

Fuenlabrada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fuenlabrada might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirandés than the current prediction. (-12.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mirandés that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fuenlabrada than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fuenlabrada could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.9%	7.1%	6.1%

Mirandés - Fuenlabrada Predictions

Users Predictions: 99 users predict this event. Mirandés will win (votes: 86 - 86.9%). Fuenlabrada will win (votes: 6 - 6.1%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mirandés: 80.3% – 93.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 15 and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Fuenlabrada is Relegated to

Mirandés has the most likely position - 15 (49.13%), has project points - 51, has currently - 49, has not chance of relegated, has not chance of prom. playoffs.

Fuenlabrada has the most likely position - 21 (100%), has project points - 34, has currently - 33, was already of relegated.

This event has small quality 27, very small importance 0, small match rating 13. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

The competitors look crappy now.

In this match Mirandés is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mirandés won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Mirandés won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Mirandés
Spanish LaLiga2
21.05.22	Girona - Mirandés	2:0 ✺
15.05.22	Mirandés - Ibiza	4:0 ✺
06.05.22	Las Palmas - Mirandés	1:0 ✺
30.04.22	Real Oviedo - Mirandés	3:0 ✺
24.04.22	Mirandés - Valladolid	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWLLL
- CF Fuenlabrada
Spanish LaLiga2
21.05.22	Fuenlabrada - Sporting de Gijón	0:0 ✺
14.05.22	Lugo - Fuenlabrada	1:3 ✺
07.05.22	Fuenlabrada - Real Sociedad B	1:2 ✺
01.05.22	Amorebieta - Fuenlabrada	2:1 ✺
23.04.22	Fuenlabrada - Ponferradina	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
19.11.21	Fuenlabrada - Mirandés	1:1
09.05.21	Mirandés - Fuenlabrada	2:1
12.12.20	Fuenlabrada - Mirandés	0:1
04.07.20	Fuenlabrada - Mirandés	2:2
13.10.19	Mirandés - Fuenlabrada	2:1

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