The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Mirassol 58.7%
Draw 25%
EC São José Porto Alegre 16.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.8%
28%
22.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55%
30.9%
20.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mirassol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mirassol's performance.
EC São José Porto Alegre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and EC São José Porto Alegre might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for EC São José Porto Alegre than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
57.1%
28.6%
14.3%
Mirassol - EC São José Porto Alegre Predictions
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Mirassol will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). EC São José will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Confidence interval (95%) for Mirassol: 31.2% – 83%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage) and 9).
Recent matches Mirassol is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
EC São José Porto Alegre is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
EC São José Porto Alegre could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Mirassol is a favorite.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Mirassol won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-7.
Including matches at home between the teams Mirassol won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-5.