Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie B - Round 9

Date: 11 June 2024, Tuesday

Location: Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia (Mirassol)

Referee: da Cruz Y. E. F. (Bra)


	Mirassol		Goiás

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.1	3.4	Watch
	2.05	3	3.5
	2.25	3	3.4
	2.34	2.97	3.74
	2.32	2.89	3.72
	2.25	2.9	3.4
	2.25	2.94	3.57	Watch
	2.19	2.85	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↓ (2.58)	2.96 ↓ (3.07)	3.55 ↑ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mirassol
41.9%

Draw
31.7%

Goiás
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.1%

30.4%

33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

31.2%

32.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mirassol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mirassol's performance.

Goiás has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Goiás might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Goiás than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Goiás could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
52.4%	23.8%	23.8%

Mirassol - Goiás Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Mirassol will win (votes: 10 - 52.6%). Goiás will win (votes: 4 - 21.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 26.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mirassol: 30.1% – 75.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Alex Muralha (G) 19. Lucas Ramon 34. Joao Victor 4. Luiz Otavio 28. Warley 25. Neto Moura 8. Danielzinho 27. Gabriel (C) 11. Negueba 49. Dellatorre 7. Fernandinho	23. Tadeu (G) 3. Yan Souto 4. David Braz (C) 19. Edson 20. Diego 77. Marcao Silva 50. Juninho 8. Rafael Gava 88. Luiz Henrique 31. Welliton 7. Paulo Baya
Substitutes
2. Alex Silva 15. Artur 10. Chico Kim 14. Isaque 3. Lucas Gazal 26. Miguel Silva 6. PH 9. Quirino 1. Vanderlei (G) 31. Vinicius Peixoto 33. Wanderson	18. Breno Herculano 12. Cristiano 2. Douglas Borel 43. Edu 90. Halerrandrio 25. Ian Luccas 21. Jhonny Lucas 70. Nathan Melo 9. Rodriguez A. 1. Thiago Rodrigues (G) 11. Torres I. 5. Wellington
Coaches
Mozart	Marcio Zanardi

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Fernandinho 🟨,
30', Fernandinho 🟨,
45', Negueba 🟨,
45+3', David Braz 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Juninho ↓, Breno Herculano ↑,
46', David Braz ↓, Wellington ↑,
62', Negueba ↓, Chico Kim ↑,
63', Warley ↓, Artur ↑,
68', 1 - 0, Dellatorre ⚽,
69', Dellatorre 🟥,
72', Edson ↓, Ian Luccas ↑,
76', Gabriel ↓, Wanderson ↑,
76', Neto Moura ↓, Lucas Gazal ↑,
77', Rafael Gava ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
85', Luiz Henrique ↓, Cristiano ↑,
90+5', Lucas Ramon ↓, Alex Silva ↑,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Mirassol could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Mirassol will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Mirassol: Yuri Lima (Injury)

There will not play in Goiás: Messias (Injury) Regis (Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mirassol
Brazilian Serie B
04.06.24	Mirassol - Guarani	3:0 ✺
28.05.24	Amazonas - Mirassol	1:0 ✺
19.05.24	Mirassol - Ituano	2:0 ✺
15.05.24	América Mineiro - Mirassol	0:0 ✺
12.05.24	Mirassol - Paysandu	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLWTW
- Goiás EC
Brazilian Serie B
31.05.24	Goiás - Sport Recife	3:0 ✺
27.05.24	Avaí - Goiás	2:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
23.05.24	Cuiabá - Goiás	1:1 penalties ✺
Brazilian Serie B
18.05.24	Goiás - Botafogo SP	4:0 ✺
15.05.24	Paysandu - Goiás	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WLWWT

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