Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie B - Round 14

Date: 9 July 2024, Tuesday

Location: Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia (Mirassol)

Referee: Mendes F. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Canal GOAT, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, TV Brasil, Vivo Play, Zapping
World	Amazon Prime Video


	Mirassol		CRB Maceio

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.7	5	Watch
	1.65	3.5	5
	1.68	3.6	5
	1.68	3.65	5.8
	1.72	3.53	4.95	Watch
	1.67	3.6	5
	1.69	3.6	5.17	Watch
	1.68	3.6	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 (1.68)	3.6 ↑ (3.57)	5.1 ↑ (4.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mirassol
55.7%

Draw
26%

CRB Maceio
18.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

26.1%

18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8%

27.7%

17.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mirassol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

CRB Maceio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CRB Maceio than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.6%	15.4%	0%

Mirassol - CRB Maceio Predictions

Users Predictions: Mirassol will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Alex Muralha (G) 19. Lucas Ramon 3. Lucas Gazal 4. Luiz Otavio 2. Alex Silva 27. Gabriel (C) 8. Danielzinho 14. Isaque 11. Negueba 49. Dellatorre 7. Fernandinho	12. Matheus Albino (G) 32. Hereda 4. Saimon 3. Fabio Alemao 37. Heron 98. Falcao 33. Joao Pedro 6. Caio Cesar 8. Gege 9. Anselmo Ramon (C) 38. Leo Pereira
Substitutes
10. Chico Kim 44. Henri 25. Neto Moura 6. PH 9. Quirino 12. Sidnei (G) 33. Wanderson 5. Yuri Lima	34. Darlisson 48. Erik 23. Fabio (G) 26. Gustavo Henrique 35. Joao Neto 11. Jorge 2. Matheus Ribeiro 7. Mike 16. Rodrigo 17. Romulo 1. Vitor Caetano (G)
Coaches
Mozart	Daniel Paulista

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Heron ↓, Matheus Ribeiro ↑,
32', Dellatorre 🟨,
45+2', Hereda 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
66', Gabriel ↓, Neto Moura ↑,
66', Isaque ↓, Chico Kim ↑,
74', Lucas Gazal 🟨,
77', Negueba ↓, Quirino ↑,
81', Saimon 🟨,
85', 1 - 0, Dellatorre ⚽, Fernandinho (A),
89', Dellatorre ↓, Wanderson ↑,
90', Caio Cesar ↓, Joao Neto ↑,
90', Falcao ↓, Mike ↑,
90+5', Alex Silva 🟨,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 10 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

CRB could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Mirassol is a favorite.

There will not play in Mirassol: Vanderlei (Injury) Yuri Lima (Injury)

There will not play in CRB: Labandeira F. (Injury) Vitinho (Injury)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Mirassol won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Mirassol won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mirassol
Brazilian Serie B
02.07.24	Grêmio Novorizontino - Mirassol	1:1 ✺
25.06.24	Mirassol - Santos	0:0 ✺
20.06.24	Vila Nova - Mirassol	1:0 ✺
16.06.24	Sport Recife - Mirassol	1:0 ✺
11.06.24	Mirassol - Goiás	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TTLLW
- CRB Maceio
Brazilian Serie B
01.07.24	CRB Maceio - Brusque	1:1 ✺
22.06.24	CRB Maceio - Guarani	1:0 ✺
18.06.24	Paysandu - CRB Maceio	1:1 ✺
15.06.24	América Mineiro - CRB Maceio	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
09.06.24	CRB Maceio - Fortaleza	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
28.09.23	Mirassol - CRB Maceio	1:0
07.06.23	CRB Maceio - Mirassol	2:0

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