Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie B - Round 15

Date: 12 July 2024, Friday

Location: Estádio Moisés Lucarelli (Campinas)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Canais Globo, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping
World	Amazon Prime Video


	Ponte Preta		Mirassol

	1	X	2
	2.9	2.75	2.88	Watch
	2.75	2.7	2.7
	2.85	2.8	2.75
	3.01	2.8	2.88
	2.92	2.74	2.8	Watch
	2.75	2.88	2.7
	2.8	2.89	2.73	Watch
	2.75	2.75	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↑ (2.72)	2.79 ↓ (2.91)	2.78 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ponte Preta
32.9%

Draw
33.5%

Mirassol
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

31.8%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.9%

31.9%

34.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ponte Preta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Mirassol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponte Preta than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
31.2%	68.7%	0%

Ponte Preta - Mirassol Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Ponte Preta will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 42.8% – 90.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pedro Rocha (G) 2. Igor Inocencio 4. Mateus Silva 6. Sergio Raphael 33. Risso G. 15. Castro 8. Emerson Santos 21. Ramon 10. Elvis (C) 77. Matheus Regis 9. Jeh	23. Alex Muralha (G) 19. Lucas Ramon 34. Joao Victor 4. Luiz Otavio 37. Zeca 27. Gabriel (C) 8. Danielzinho 14. Isaque 11. Negueba 49. Dellatorre 7. Fernandinho
Substitutes
18. Emerson Santos 29. Everton Brito 17. Guilherme Belea 11. Iago Dias 20. Joao Gabriel 13. Joilson 30. Luan Ribeiro (G) 25. Lucas Buchecha 31. Ze Mario	2. Alex Silva 16. Bruno Matias 10. Chico Kim 44. Henri 3. Lucas Gazal 98. Marquinhos 6. PH 12. Sidnei (G) 33. Wanderson
Coaches
Baptista N.	Mozart

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
15', Emerson Santos ↓,
26', 0 - 1, Gabriel (Pen),
30', 1 - 1, Emerson Santos ⚽,
34', Sergio Raphael 🟨,
42', Fernandinho 🟥,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Isaque ↓, Lucas Gazal ↑,
49', 2 - 1, Ramon ⚽,
61', Joao Victor ↓, Bruno Matias ↑,
61', Danielzinho ↓, Chico Kim ↑,
61', Negueba ↓, Marquinhos ↑,
63', Ramon ↓, Iago Dias ↑,
66', Iago Dias 🟨,
71', 3 - 1, Jeh ⚽, Mateus Silva (A),
74', Igor Inocencio 🟨,
83', Elvis ↓, Lucas Buchecha ↑,
83', Lucas Ramon ↓, Alex Silva ↑,
89', 3 - 2, Luiz Otavio ⚽, Zeca (A),
90+5', Alex Silva 🟨,
90+11', 4 - 2, Matheus Regis ⚽,
90+12', 🟨,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 13 and 6).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ponte Preta won 0.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Mirassol could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Mirassol: Vanderlei (Injury)

Last 12 head-to-head matches Ponte Preta won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Ponte Preta won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AA Ponte Preta
Brazilian Serie B
05.07.24	Brusque - Ponte Preta	0:0 ✺
30.06.24	Guarani - Ponte Preta	1:1 ✺
25.06.24	Ponte Preta - Ceará	3:1 ✺
19.06.24	Botafogo SP - Ponte Preta	2:0 ✺
15.06.24	Ponte Preta - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 TTWLW
- Mirassol
Brazilian Serie B
09.07.24	Mirassol - CRB Maceio	1:0 ✺
02.07.24	Grêmio Novorizontino - Mirassol	1:1 ✺
25.06.24	Mirassol - Santos	0:0 ✺
20.06.24	Vila Nova - Mirassol	1:0 ✺
16.06.24	Sport Recife - Mirassol	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
20.01.24	Ponte Preta - Mirassol	1:1
Brazilian Serie B
22.09.23	Ponte Preta - Mirassol	0:3
03.06.23	Mirassol - Ponte Preta	1:0
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
26.02.22	Mirassol - Ponte Preta	1:1
29.04.21	Ponte Preta - Mirassol	1:2
26.07.20	Mirassol - Ponte Preta	0:1
30.01.19	Ponte Preta - Mirassol	3:0

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