Match Info

BRAZIL: PAULISTA - ROUND 6

Date: 8 February 2024, Thursday

Location: Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia (Mirassol)

Referee: Vitor Gobi J. (Bra)


	Mirassol		Santo André

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.5	5.25	Watch
	1.68	3.5	5
	1.7	3.5	5	Watch
	1.71	3.45	4.8
	1.67	3.57	5.37
	1.6	3.4	5
	1.66	3.58	5.08	Watch
	1.68	3.4	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.76)	3.49 ↑ (3.37)	5.03 ↑ (4.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mirassol
55.1%

Draw
26.5%

Santo André
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.7%

27.5%

19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53%

27.3%

19.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mirassol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Santo André has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santo André than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Mirassol - Santo André Predictions

Users Predictions: Mirassol will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Alex Muralha (G) 2. Rodrigo Ferreira 3. Lucas Gazal 4. Luiz Otavio 28. Warley 8. Danielzinho 27. Gabriel (C) 7. Fernandinho 10. Chico Kim 11. Negueba 49. Dellatorre	1. Luiz Daniel (G) 23. Junior Caicara 3. Afonso 4. Luiz Gustavo 2. Ze Mateus 8. Dudu Vieira (C) 5. Sousa 10. Robinho 11. Felipe Ferreira 19. Lohan 7. Cleo Silva
Substitutes
21. Diego Goncalves 99. Everton Bala 44. Henri 14. Isaque 16. Marcelo Nunes 9. Mario Sergio 77. Paulinho Boia 18. Ronald Lopes 12. Sidnei (G) 1. Vanderlei (G) 33. Wanderson 13. Wesley Santos	18. Alexiel 21. Ariel 20. Bruno Michel 17. Geovane 14. Joao Maistro 9. Leo Passos 16. Marciel 22. Richard 15. Ruan 13. Walce 12. Wellington Santana (G)
Coaches
Mozart	Fernandes M.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mirassol won 2.

Recent matches Mirassol is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Santo André is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Santo André could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Mirassol is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Mirassol won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Mirassol won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mirassol
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
03.02.24	Água Santa - Mirassol	2:1 ✺
31.01.24	Guarani - Mirassol	2:3 ✺
28.01.24	Mirassol - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:1 ✺
23.01.24	Mirassol - São Paulo	1:1 ✺
20.01.24	Ponte Preta - Mirassol	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LWTTT
- Santo André
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
04.02.24	Santo André - Red Bull Bragantino	1:2 ✺
01.02.24	Botafogo SP - Santo André	1:0 ✺
28.01.24	Santo André - Água Santa	0:0 ✺
25.01.24	Santo André - Grêmio Novorizontino	0:0 ✺
20.01.24	São Paulo - Santo André	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
27.02.23	Santo André - Mirassol	0:1
06.02.22	Mirassol - Santo André	2:2
06.05.21	Santo André - Mirassol	2:1
15.03.20	Mirassol - Santo André	1:0
29.01.18	Santo André - Mirassol	1:1
18.03.17	Mirassol - Santo André	2:3

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