Match Info

Date: 21 May 2022, Saturday

Location: Best Denki Stadium (Mito)

Referee: Nagamine K. (Jpn)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Mito HollyHock		Grulla Morioka

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.33	6.5	Watch
	1.44	4.1	6
	1.5	4.1	5.75
	1.46	4.3	5.8
	1.51	4.43	6.72
	1.57	3.5	5.25
	1.52	4.4	6.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.99)	4.17 ↑ (3.1)	6.02 ↑ (3.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mito HollyHock
62.1%

Draw
22.4%

Grulla Morioka
15.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.7%

29.2%

25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3%

28.2%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mito HollyHock has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mito HollyHock's performance.

Grulla Morioka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Grulla Morioka might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mito HollyHock than the current prediction. (-14.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mito HollyHock that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grulla Morioka than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Grulla Morioka could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64.7%	11.8%	23.5%

Mito HollyHock - Grulla Morioka Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Mito HollyHock will win (votes: 11 - 64.7%). Grulla Morioka will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mito HollyHock: 42% – 87.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Mito HollyHock is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Grulla Morioka is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Grulla Morioka could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Mito HollyHock is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mito HollyHock
Japan J2 League
14.05.22	Tokyo Verdy - Mito HollyHock	0:2 ✺
08.05.22	Mito HollyHock - Machida Zelvia	0:0 ✺
04.05.22	Fagiano Okayama - Mito HollyHock	2:1 ✺
30.04.22	Mito HollyHock - Ventforet Kofu	2:1 ✺
27.04.22	V-Varen Nagasaki - Mito HollyHock	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WTLWL
- Grulla Morioka
Japan J2 League
18.05.22	Omiya Ardija - Grulla Morioka	0:1 ✺
04.05.22	Grulla Morioka - V-Varen Nagasaki	0:4 ✺
01.05.22	Grulla Morioka - Roasso Kumamoto	1:2 ✺
27.04.22	Albirex Niigata - Grulla Morioka	2:0 ✺
20.04.22	Tokushima Vortis - Grulla Morioka	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLLLL

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