Match Info

J1 League - Round 1

Date: 8 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Ajinomoto Stadium (Tokyo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Canal GOAT
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Tokyo Verdy		Mito HollyHock

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.82	3.6	Watch
	2.4	3.1	2.95
	2.25	2.82	3.55	Watch
	2.35	2.85	3.88
	2.28	2.92	3.7	Watch
	2.25	2.7	3.6
	2.21	2.9	3.93	Watch
	2.25	2.83	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↓ (2.48)	2.87 ↓ (3.17)	3.62 ↑ (2.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tokyo Verdy
41.2%

Draw
32.8%

Mito HollyHock
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

29.5%

32.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tokyo Verdy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Mito HollyHock has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mito HollyHock might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	60%	20%

Tokyo Verdy - Mito HollyHock Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Tokyo Verdy will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Mito HollyHock will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tokyo Verdy (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Matheus (G) 15. Suzuki K. 4. Hayashi N. 6. Miyahara K. 22. Uchida Y. 16. Hirakawa R. 10. Morita K. 23. Fukazawa D. 7. Matsuhashi Y. 8. Saito K. 9. Someno I.	34. Nishikawa K. (G) 6. Iida T. 5. Inoue S. 17. Itakura K. 7. Omori S. 8. Kato C. 15. Nagao Y. 3. Osaki K. 39. Yamamoto H. 11. Torikai Y. 87. Gokita K.
Substitutes
40. Arai Y. 71. Hirao H. 17. Inami T. 5. Inoue R. 21. Nagasawa Y. (G) 45. Teranuma S. 11. Yamami H. 28. Yamamoto J. 55. Yoshida T.	13. Aihara S. 14. Arai M. 71. Fofana M. 25. Mase T. 21. Matsubara S. (G) 44. Okuda K. 19. Semba T. 29. Tada K. 48. Yamashita Y.
Coaches
Hiroshi J.	Kimori D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Yamamoto H. (Own goal),
21', 2 - 0, Saito K. ⚽, Morita K. (A),
42', Itakura K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Yamamoto H. ↓, Okuda K. ↑,
49', 3 - 0, Matsuhashi Y. ⚽, Morita K. (A),
51', Gokita K. 🟨,
52', Morita K. ↓, Arai Y. ↑,
57', Gokita K. ↓, Tada K. ↑,
59', 3 - 1, Kato C. ⚽, Tada K. (A),
65', Torikai Y. ↓, Semba T. ↑,
65', Nagao Y. ↓, Arai M. ↑,
75', Matsuhashi Y. ↓, Hirao H. ↑,
75', Saito K. ↓, Yamamoto J. ↑,
80', Kato C. ↓, Aihara S. ↑,
90', Someno I. ↓, Teranuma S. ↑,
90', Miyahara K. ↓, Inoue R. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tokyo Verdy won 2.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Tokyo Verdy: Yamami H. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tokyo Verdy won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 26:17. (average 1.3:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Tokyo Verdy won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:7. (average 1.2:0.7).

Outrights of Japan J1 League for now

Mito: 0.78% Verdy: 0.65%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Mito	4	1	2	1	6:5	1	5
19	Verdy	4	0	2	2	2:6	-4	2

Last Results with these Odds

Tokyo Verdy - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 37.86%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tokyo Verdy
Japan J1 League
06.12.25	Gamba Osaka - Tokyo Verdy	4:1 ✺
30.11.25	Tokyo Verdy - Kashima Antlers	0:1 ✺
08.11.25	Tokyo Verdy - Avispa Fukuoka	0:0 ✺
25.10.25	Shimizu S-Pulse - Tokyo Verdy	1:0 ✺
18.10.25	Tokyo Verdy - Albirex Niigata	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLTLW
- Mito HollyHock
Japan J2 League
29.11.25	Mito HollyHock - Oita Trinita	2:0 ✺
22.11.25	V-Varen Nagasaki - Mito HollyHock	2:1 ✺
09.11.25	Mito HollyHock - Omiya Ardija	0:2 ✺
02.11.25	Ventforet Kofu - Mito HollyHock	0:1 ✺
26.10.25	Consadole Sapporo - Mito HollyHock	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
29.07.23	Tokyo Verdy - Mito HollyHock	0:0
29.04.23	Mito HollyHock - Tokyo Verdy	0:2
21.09.22	Mito HollyHock - Tokyo Verdy	1:2
14.05.22	Tokyo Verdy - Mito HollyHock	0:2
09.08.21	Mito HollyHock - Tokyo Verdy	1:1
04.04.21	Tokyo Verdy - Mito HollyHock	2:1
20.12.20	Tokyo Verdy - Mito HollyHock	0:1

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