Match Info

Date: 4 May 2022, Wednesday


	Grulla Morioka		V-Varen Nagasaki

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.3	2.1	Watch
	3.7	2.95	1.95
	4.3	3.15	1.89
	3.75	3.1	2
	4.03	3.16	2.13
	4.33	3.1	1.8
	3.88	3.26	2.06	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.94 ↓ (4.2)	3.15 ↓ (3.2)	1.99 ↑ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grulla Morioka
23.6%

Draw
29.6%

V-Varen Nagasaki
46.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.8%

28.6%

49.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.5%

28.1%

50.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grulla Morioka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

V-Varen Nagasaki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grulla Morioka than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for V-Varen Nagasaki than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.7%	8.3%	50%

Grulla Morioka - V Varen Nagasaki Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Grulla Morioka will win (votes: 10 - 41.7%). V-Varen Nagasaki will win (votes: 12 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for V-Varen Nagasaki: 30% – 70%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 14).

Grulla Morioka has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches V-Varen Nagasaki is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match V-Varen Nagasaki is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's V-Varen Nagasaki to win the game is with odds 1.83.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grulla Morioka
Japan J2 League
01.05.22	Grulla Morioka - Roasso Kumamoto	1:2 ✺
27.04.22	Albirex Niigata - Grulla Morioka	2:0 ✺
20.04.22	Tokushima Vortis - Grulla Morioka	5:0 ✺
16.04.22	Grulla Morioka - Oita Trinita	1:2 ✺
09.04.22	Grulla Morioka - Thespakusatsu Gunma	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- V-Varen Nagasaki
Japan J2 League
01.05.22	Montedio Yamagata - V-Varen Nagasaki	2:0 ✺
27.04.22	V-Varen Nagasaki - Mito HollyHock	1:0 ✺
23.04.22	Albirex Niigata - V-Varen Nagasaki	2:1 ✺
17.04.22	Blaublitz Akita - V-Varen Nagasaki	0:1 ✺
09.04.22	V-Varen Nagasaki - Machida Zelvia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LWLWW

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