Match Info

ITALY: Serie B - Round 37

Date: 5 May 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadio Alberto Braglia (Modena)

Referee: Zufferli L. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Modena		Como

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.3	1.95	Watch
	3.8	3.25	1.98
	3.75	3.3	2	Watch
	3.15	3.22	2.44
	4.32	3.38	1.97
	2.9	3.1	2.4
	4.07	3.52	1.92	Watch
	4.1	3.25	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.8 ↑ (3.04)	3.29 ↑ (3.19)	2.07 ↓ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Modena
25.1%

Draw
29%

Como
46%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.1%

29.6%

39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.8%

30.3%

38.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Modena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Modena's form might have worsened.

Como has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Como's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Modena than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Modena, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Como than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Como, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
4.3%	69.6%	26.1%

Modena - Como Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Modena will win (votes: 1 - 4.3%). Como will win (votes: 6 - 26.1%). It will Tie (votes: 16 - 69.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 50.8% – 88.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Gagno R. (G) 27. Riccio A. 19. Zaro G. 4. Pergreffi A. 29. Cotali M. 6. Magnino L. 8. Santoro S. 23. Battistella T. 30. Bozhanaj K. 5. Palumbo A. 9. Gliozzi E.	1. Semper A. (G) 84. Cassandro T. 2. Goldaniga E. 93. Barba F. 3. Sala M. 8. Baselli D. 27. Braunoder M. 21. Strefezza G. 90. Verdi S. 33. Da Cunha L. 9. Gabrielloni A.
Substitutes
33. Cauz C. 91. Corrado N. 73. Di Stefano L. 17. Manconi J. 42. Mondele L. 78. Oliva M. 77. Olivieri E. 87. Ori R. 12. Seculin A. (G) 32. Strizzolo L. 10. Tremolada L. 22. Vandelli F. (G)	28. Abildgaard O. 14. Bellemo A. 7. Chajia M. 5. Curto M. 10. Cutrone P. 99. Fumagalli T. 23. Gioacchini N. 44. Ioannou N. 6. Iovine A. 77. Nsame J. 26. Odenthal C. 22. Vigorito M. (G)
Coaches
Bisoli P.	Roberts O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Magnino L. 🟨,
23', Goldaniga E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Bozhanaj K. ↓, Di Stefano L. ↑,
58', Baselli D. ↓, Abildgaard O. ↑,
58', Verdi S. ↓, Cutrone P. ↑,
80', Sala M. ↓, Odenthal C. ↑,
80', Gabrielloni A. ↓, Nsame J. ↑,
80', Barba F. ↓, Ioannou N. ↑,
81', Gliozzi E. ↓, Strizzolo L. ↑,
81', Palumbo A. ↓, Corrado N. ↑,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 14 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).

Recent matches Modena is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Como is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Como will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Modena won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Modena won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Modena
Italian Serie B
01.05.24	Reggiana - Modena	1:0 ✺
27.04.24	Modena - Südtirol-Alto Adige	1:0 ✺
20.04.24	Ascoli - Modena	0:0 ✺
12.04.24	Modena - Catanzaro	1:3 ✺
06.04.24	Ternana - Modena	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWTLT
- Calcio Como
Italian Serie B
01.05.24	Como - Cittadella	2:1 ✺
27.04.24	Sampdoria - Como	1:1 ✺
20.04.24	FeralpiSalò - Como	2:5 ✺
13.04.24	Como - Bari	2:1 ✺
06.04.24	Catanzaro - Como	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
10.12.23	Como - Modena	2:1
05.03.23	Como - Modena	1:0
15.10.22	Modena - Como	5:1
19.03.16	Modena - Como	1:2
31.10.15	Como - Modena	1:1

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