Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - PLAY OFFS - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 7 March 2024, Thursday

Location: Aker Stadion (Molde)

Referee: Glova F. (Svk)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Belgium	RTBF
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Croatia	Arena Sport
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Serbia	Arena Sport
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	TNT Sports


	Molde		Club Brugge

	1	X	2
	3	3.3	2.4
	2.87	3.2	2.3
	3	3.4	2.45	Watch
	3.2	3.3	2.44
	3.2	3.27	2.44
	3.07	3.42	2.31
	3	3.3	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.05 ↑ (2.58)	3.31 ↓ (3.36)	2.39 ↓ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Molde
31.3%

Draw
28.8%

Club Brugge
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

27.9%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

27.2%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Molde has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Club Brugge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Molde than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Molde, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Club Brugge than the current prediction. (-5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	30%	60%

Molde - Club Brugge Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Molde will win (votes: 3 - 10%). Brugge will win (votes: 18 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brugge: 42.5% – 77.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Petersen O. (G) 3. Oyvann C. 19. Haugan E. 25. Hagelskjaer A. 21. Linnes M. (C) 15. Kaasa M. A. 17. Daehli M. M. 5. Hestad E. 28. Haugen K. 8. Gulbrandsen F. 9. Berisha V.	29. Jackers N. (G) 58. Spileers J. 44. Mechele B. 14. Meijer B. 6. Odoi D. 27. Nielsen C. 20. Vanaken H. (C) 15. Onyedika R. 55. De Cuyper M. 8. Skoras M. 9. Jutgla F.
Substitutes
24. Bakke J. 20. Eriksen K. 37. Juberg-Hovland L. 1. Karlstrom J. (G) 50. Kjolstad Nyheim G. 33. Odegard N. 43. Solheim M. 18. Stenevik H.	11. Barbera V. 28. Boyata D. 21. Bursik J. (G) 62. Homma S. 4. Ordonez J. 64. Sabbe K. 7. Skov Olsen A. 68. Talbi C. 77. Zinckernagel P.
Coaches
Moe E.	Deila R.

Preview

1st leg.

Molde is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Brugge is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Molde could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Molde: Breivik E. (Leg Injury) Lovik M. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Molde: Karlstrom J. (Injury) Lund V. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There are questionable in Brugge: Mignolet S. (Muscle Injury) Nusa A. (Muscle Injury) Thiago I. (Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Molde FK
Club Friendly
02.03.24	Molde - Rosenborg	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
22.02.24	Legia Warsaw - Molde	0:3 ✺
15.02.24	Molde - Legia Warsaw	3:2 ✺
Atlantic Cup
08.02.24	Copenhagen - Molde	3:1 ✺
02.02.24	Molde - Midtjylland	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 TWWLW
- Club Brugge
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
03.03.24	Genk - Club Brugge	0:3 ✺
Belgian Cup
28.02.24	Saint-Gilloise - Club Brugge	2:0 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
25.02.24	Club Brugge - Anderlecht	1:2 ✺
18.02.24	Cercle Brugge - Club Brugge	1:1 ✺
10.02.24	Club Brugge - Eupen	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLLTW

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