Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 21

Date: 7 February 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stade de la Beaujoire (Nantes) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Vernice M. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	CANAL+ Sport 2, DStv Now, StarTimes App, SuperSport GOtv Football, TV5 Monde Africa, TV5 Monde Maghreb-Orient
Argentina	17:05	Disney+
Armenia	00:05	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, TOD, TV5 Monde Asia, TV5 Monde Pacifique
Austria	21:05	DAZN 2, DAZN
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:05	Arena Sport 5
Brazil	17:05	Caze TV, Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	22:05	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	15:05	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Chile	17:05	Disney+
China	04:05	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	15:05	Disney+
Croatia	21:05	Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	22:05	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech Republic	21:05	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	21:05	Viaplay
Europe	—	TV5 Monde Europe
Finland	22:05	Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	21:05	DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Georgia	00:05	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	21:05	DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch
Hong Kong	04:05	beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Israel	22:05	5 LIVE Israel
Italy	21:05	Ligue 1+
Japan	05:05	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	02:05	Setanta Sports
Kenya	23:05	Gotv
Kosovo	21:05	Arena Premium 4
Mexico	14:05	FOX One, Fox Sports
Netherlands	21:05	Viaplay
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	21:05	Viaplay
Peru	15:05	Disney+
Philippines	04:05	Cignal Play
Poland	21:05	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	20:05	Sport TV3
Russia	23:05	Okko Sport
Serbia	21:05	Arena Premium 4
Slovakia	21:05	Nova Sport 3, Voyo
Slovenia	21:05	Arena Sport 3
South Africa	22:05	SuperSport Variety 3
South America	—	TV5 Monde Amerique Latine
South Korea	05:05	Coupang Play
Sweden	21:05	Viaplay
Switzerland	21:05	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	23:05	beIN Connect
Ukraine	22:05	MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	20:05	Amazon Prime Video, Ligue 1+
Uruguay	17:05	Disney+
Usa	15:05	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz, TV5 Monde
Venezuela	16:05	Disney+
Vietnam	03:05	K+, ON Plus, TV 360
International	20:05	Onefootball


	Nantes		Lyon

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.75	1.75	Watch
	5.25	3.8	1.68
	4.65	3.7	1.75	Watch
	4.84	3.84	1.76
	4.82	3.84	1.73	Watch
	4.6	3.5	1.7
	5.14	3.81	1.74	Watch
	4.75	3.8	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.85 ↓ (5.11)	3.76 ↓ (3.91)	1.73 ↑ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nantes
19.6%

Draw
25.4%

Lyon
55%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

18.5%

24.2%

57.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.5%

24.2%

57.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nantes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Lyon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nantes than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lyon than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.3%	1.8%	90.9%

Nantes - Lyon Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Nantes (3.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH -0.75 - Lyon (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Lyon (2.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Lyon (1.29) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Lyon will win (49 of 54 users predict this - 90.74%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.01% – 98.47%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lyon will win (32 of 32 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 36 Selected Experts predict this event. Nantes (votes: 1 - 2.8%). Lyon (votes: 35 - 97.2%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lopes A. (C) 98. Amian K. 2. Ali Youssef 3. Cozza N. 18. Centonze F. 21. Kaba M. 8. Lepenant J. 17. Tabibou D. 20. Cabella R. 10. Abline M. 31. Mostafa Mohamed	1. Greif D. (G) 98. Maitland-Niles A. 22. Mata C. 19. Niakhate M. (C) 16. Abner Vinicius 99. Nartey N. 6. Tessmann T. 23. Morton T. 9. Endrick 10. Sulc P. 17. Moreira A.
Substitutes
6. Awaziem C. 30. Carlgren P. (G) 13. Coquelin F. 19. El Arabi Y. 11. Guirassy B. 66. Leroux L. 27. Machado D. 28. Sissoko I. 4. Sylla A.	39. de Carvalho M. 40. Descamps R. (G) 18. Ghezzal R. 34. Hamdani A. 33. Hateboer H. 45. Himbert R. 85. Kamara N. 7. Karabec A. 44. Merah K.
Coaches
Kantari A.	Fonseca P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2', Endrick 🟨,
25', 0 - 1, Sulc P. ⚽, Moreira A. (A),
37', Amian K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Mostafa Mohamed ↓, El Arabi Y. ↑,
61', Endrick 🟥,
63', Tabibou D. ↓, Machado D. ↑,
66', Ali Youssef 🟨,
72', Cozza N. ↓, Sylla A. ↑,
73', Amian K. ↓, Coquelin F. ↑,
76', Greif D. 🟨,
82', Kaba M. 🟨,
87', Moreira A. ↓, Hateboer H. ↑,
87', Kaba M. ↓, Guirassy B. ↑,
90+4', Sulc P. ↓, Merah K. ↑,
90+9', Abline M. 🟨,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nantes won 0.

Nantes is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Lyon is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Lyon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Lyon is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Nantes: Guilbert F. (Lacking Match Fitness)

There will not play in Lyon: Fofana M. (Ankle Injury) Kluivert R. (Muscle Injury) Mangala O. (Injury) Nuamah E. (Knee Injury) Tagliafico N. (Ankle Injury) Tolisso C. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Nantes: Machado D. (Injury)

There are questionable in Lyon: Ghezzal R. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nantes won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 16:31. (average 0.8:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Nantes won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 0.9:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Lyon	8	4	2	2	13:7	6	14

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

Lyon: 2.58%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Nantes
French Ligue 1
31.01.26	Lorient - Nantes	2:1 ✺
25.01.26	Nantes - Nice	1:4 ✺
18.01.26	Nantes - Paris FC	1:2 ✺
Coupe De France
11.01.26	Nantes - Nice	1:2 penalties ✺
French Ligue 1
04.01.26	Olympique Marseille - Nantes	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.7 LLLLW
- Olympique Lyon
Coupe De France
04.02.26	Lyon - Laval	2:0 ✺
French Ligue 1
01.02.26	Lyon - Lille	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
29.01.26	Lyon - PAOK	4:2 ✺
French Ligue 1
25.01.26	Metz - Lyon	2:5 ✺
UEFA Europa League
22.01.26	Young Boys - Lyon	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
30.11.25	Lyon - Nantes	3:0
26.01.25	Nantes - Lyon	1:1
06.10.24	Lyon - Nantes	2:0
07.04.24	Nantes - Lyon	1:3
20.12.23	Lyon - Nantes	1:0
Coupe De France
05.04.23	Nantes - Lyon	1:0
French Ligue 1
17.03.23	Lyon - Nantes	1:1

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