Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 21

Date: 7 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Stade de la Beaujoire (Nantes)

Referee: Vernice M. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 2, DStv Now, StarTimes App, SuperSport GOtv Football, TV5 Monde Africa, TV5 Monde Maghreb-Orient
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, TOD, TV5 Monde Asia, TV5 Monde Pacifique
Austria	DAZN 2, DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5
Brazil	Caze TV, Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Europe	TV5 Monde Europe
Finland	Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Israel	5 LIVE Israel
Italy	Ligue 1+
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 4
Mexico	FOX One, Fox Sports
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	Cignal Play
Poland	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	Sport TV3
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 4
Slovakia	Nova Sport 3, Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 3
South-africa	SuperSport Variety 3
South-america	TV5 Monde Amerique Latine
South-korea	Coupang Play
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	beIN Connect
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Ligue 1+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz, TV5 Monde
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	K+, ON Plus, TV 360
World	Onefootball


	Nantes		Lyon

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.75	1.75	Watch
	5.25	3.8	1.68
	4.65	3.7	1.75	Watch
	4.84	3.84	1.76
	4.82	3.84	1.73	Watch
	4.6	3.5	1.7
	5.14	3.81	1.74	Watch
	4.75	3.8	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.85 ↓ (5.11)	3.76 ↓ (3.91)	1.73 ↑ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nantes
19.6%

Draw
25.4%

Lyon
55%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.5%

24.2%

57.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.5%

24.2%

57.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nantes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Lyon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nantes than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lyon than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.3%	1.8%	90.9%

Nantes - Lyon Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Nantes (3.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH -0.75 - Lyon (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Lyon (2.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Lyon (1.29) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Lyon will win (49 of 54 users predict this - 90.74%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.01% – 98.47%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lyon will win (32 of 32 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 36 Selected Experts predict this event. Nantes (votes: 1 - 2.8%). Lyon (votes: 35 - 97.2%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lopes A. (C) 98. Amian K. 2. Ali Youssef 3. Cozza N. 18. Centonze F. 21. Kaba M. 8. Lepenant J. 17. Tabibou D. 20. Cabella R. 10. Abline M. 31. Mostafa Mohamed	1. Greif D. (G) 98. Maitland-Niles A. 22. Mata C. 19. Niakhate M. (C) 16. Abner Vinicius 99. Nartey N. 6. Tessmann T. 23. Morton T. 9. Endrick 10. Sulc P. 17. Moreira A.
Substitutes
6. Awaziem C. 30. Carlgren P. (G) 13. Coquelin F. 19. El Arabi Y. 11. Guirassy B. 66. Leroux L. 27. Machado D. 28. Sissoko I. 4. Sylla A.	39. de Carvalho M. 40. Descamps R. (G) 18. Ghezzal R. 34. Hamdani A. 33. Hateboer H. 45. Himbert R. 85. Kamara N. 7. Karabec A. 44. Merah K.
Coaches
Kantari A.	Fonseca P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2', Endrick 🟨,
25', 0 - 1, Sulc P. ⚽, Moreira A. (A),
37', Amian K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Mostafa Mohamed ↓, El Arabi Y. ↑,
61', Endrick 🟥,
63', Tabibou D. ↓, Machado D. ↑,
66', Ali Youssef 🟨,
72', Cozza N. ↓, Sylla A. ↑,
73', Amian K. ↓, Coquelin F. ↑,
76', Greif D. 🟨,
82', Kaba M. 🟨,
87', Moreira A. ↓, Hateboer H. ↑,
87', Kaba M. ↓, Guirassy B. ↑,
90+4', Sulc P. ↓, Merah K. ↑,
90+9', Abline M. 🟨,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nantes won 0.

Nantes is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Lyon is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Lyon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Lyon is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Nantes: Guilbert F. (Lacking Match Fitness)

There will not play in Lyon: Fofana M. (Ankle Injury) Kluivert R. (Muscle Injury) Mangala O. (Injury) Nuamah E. (Knee Injury) Tagliafico N. (Ankle Injury) Tolisso C. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Nantes: Machado D. (Injury)

There are questionable in Lyon: Ghezzal R. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nantes won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 16:31. (average 0.8:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Nantes won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 0.9:1.2).

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

Lyon: 4.01%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Lyon	5	3	2	0	10:2	8	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Nantes
French Ligue 1
31.01.26	Lorient - Nantes	2:1 ✺
25.01.26	Nantes - Nice	1:4 ✺
18.01.26	Nantes - Paris FC	1:2 ✺
Coupe De France
11.01.26	Nantes - Nice	1:2 penalties ✺
French Ligue 1
04.01.26	Olympique Marseille - Nantes	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.7 LLLLW
- Olympique Lyon
Coupe De France
04.02.26	Lyon - Laval	2:0 ✺
French Ligue 1
01.02.26	Lyon - Lille	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
29.01.26	Lyon - PAOK	4:2 ✺
French Ligue 1
25.01.26	Metz - Lyon	2:5 ✺
UEFA Europa League
22.01.26	Young Boys - Lyon	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
30.11.25	Lyon - Nantes	3:0
26.01.25	Nantes - Lyon	1:1
06.10.24	Lyon - Nantes	2:0
07.04.24	Nantes - Lyon	1:3
20.12.23	Lyon - Nantes	1:0
Coupe De France
05.04.23	Nantes - Lyon	1:0
French Ligue 1
17.03.23	Lyon - Nantes	1:1

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