The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Monaco 66.2%
Draw 20.4%
Sturm Graz 13.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
66.3%
20.9%
12.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
78.2%
17.7%
10.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Monaco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
Sturm Graz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monaco than the current prediction. (+12%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Monaco, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sturm Graz than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
83.1%
8.1%
8.8%
Monaco - Sturm Graz Predictions
Users Predictions:
Monaco will win
(113 of 136 users predict this - 83.09%). Confidence interval (95%): 76.79% โ 89.39%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Preview
Monaco has currently - 0, has a chance of 1st (24%), has a chance of 2nd (31%), has a chance of 3rd (32%), has a chance of round of 16 (39%), has a chance of qtrs (20%), has a small chance of semis (10%), has a very small chance of final (4%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).
Sturm has currently - 0, has a very small chance of 1st (2%), has a small chance of 2nd (8%), has a chance of 3rd (20%), has a very small chance of round of 16 (4%), has a very small chance of qtrs (1%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Recent matches Monaco is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Sturm is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Sturm could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Sturm have a series of home games.
In this match Monaco is the unquestionable favorite.