Match Info

Champions League - League phase - Round 3

Date: 22 October 2025, Wednesday

Location: Stade Louis II (Monaco)

Referee: Guida M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Monaco		Tottenham Hotspur

	1	X	2
	3	3.5	2.3
	2.98	3.6	2.35
	3.08	3.65	2.36
	3.01	2.91	2.58	Watch
	3.11	3.62	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.04 ↑ (2.74)	3.46 ↓ (3.63)	2.4 ↓ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Monaco
31.8%

Draw
27.9%

Tottenham Hotspur
40.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.7%

26.2%

39%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6%

26.9%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Monaco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Tottenham Hotspur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monaco than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tottenham Hotspur than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
39%	32.2%	28.8%

Monaco - Tottenham Hotspur Predictions

Users Predictions: 59 users predict this event. Monaco will win (votes: 23 - 39%). Tottenham will win (votes: 17 - 28.8%). It will Tie (votes: 19 - 32.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Monaco: 26.6% – 51.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 24 Selected Experts predict this event. Monaco (votes: 9 - 37.5%). Tottenham (votes: 7 - 29.2%). Tie (votes: 8 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -0.25 - Tottenham (1.99) (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Monaco (2.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Monaco (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 32 Selected Experts predict this event. Monaco (votes: 11 - 34.4%). Tottenham (votes: 13 - 40.6%). Tie (votes: 8 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Kohn P. (G) 5. Kehrer T. (C) 22. Salisu M. 12. Caio Henrique 27. Diatta K. 4. Teze J. 28. Coulibaly M. 20. Ouattara K. 31. Fati A. 11. Akliouche M. 9. Balogun F.	1. Vicario G. (G) 23. Porro P. 6. Palhinha J. 4. Danso K. 37. van de Ven M. (C) 14. Gray A. 30. Bentancur R. 15. Bergvall L. 28. Odobert W. 9. Richarlison 20. Kudus M.
Substitutes
23. Bamba A. 14. Biereth M. 43. Cabral P. 10. Golovin A. 17. Idumbo S. 19. Ilenikhena G. 50. Lienard Y. (G) 13. Mawissa C. 21. Michal L. 18. Minamino T. 40. Stawiecki J. (G)	40. Austin B. (G) 67. Byfield J. 22. Johnson B. 31. Kinsky A. (G) 39. Kolo Muani R. 51. Olusesi C. 29. Sarr P. M. 44. Scarlett D. 7. Simons X. 24. Spence D. 68. Williams-Barnett L.
Coaches
Pocognoli S.	Frank T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
47', Richarlison 🟨,
57', Diatta K. ↓, Golovin A. ↑,
60', Bentancur R. ↓, Sarr P. M. ↑,
60', Bergvall L. ↓, Simons X. ↑,
69', Odobert W. ↓, Johnson B. ↑,
70', Richarlison ↓, Kolo Muani R. ↑,
70', Fati A. ↓, Minamino T. ↑,
70', Ouattara K. ↓, Mawissa C. ↑,
79', Kudus M. ↓, Spence D. ↑,
83', Balogun F. ↓, Biereth M. ↑,

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Tottenham may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Tottenham might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Monaco: Camara L. (Ankle Injury) Dier E. (Muscle Injury) Hradecky L. (Knee Injury) Mawissa C. (Muscle Injury) Pogba P. (Lacking Match Fitness) Zakaria D. (Groin Injury)

There will not play in Tottenham: Bissouma Y. (Ankle Injury) Davies B. (Muscle Injury) Dragusin R. (Knee Injury) Kulusevski D. (Knee Injury) Maddison J. (Knee Injury) Romero C. (Muscle Injury) Solanke D. (Ankle Injury) Takai K. (Foot Injury) Tel M. (Inactive) Udogie D. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Monaco: Vanderson (Muscle Injury)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Monaco won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 11:9. (average 2.2:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Monaco won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 2.7:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Tottenham Hotspur - the odds 2.44 are the expected chance of winning is 39.05%, but this team recently wins 9% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Monaco
French Ligue 1
18.10.25	Angers - Monaco	1:1 ✺
05.10.25	Monaco - Nice	2:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
01.10.25	Monaco - Manchester City	2:2 ✺
French Ligue 1
27.09.25	Lorient - Monaco	3:1 ✺
21.09.25	Monaco - Metz	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TTTLW
- Tottenham Hotspur
English Premier League
19.10.25	Tottenham Hotspur - Aston Villa	1:2 ✺
04.10.25	Leeds United - Tottenham Hotspur	1:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
30.09.25	Bodø Glimt - Tottenham Hotspur	2:2 ✺
English Premier League
27.09.25	Tottenham Hotspur - Wolverhampton Wanderers	1:1 ✺
English League Cup
24.09.25	Tottenham Hotspur - Doncaster Rovers	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWTTW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
22.11.16	Monaco - Tottenham Hotspur	2:1
14.09.16	Tottenham Hotspur - Monaco	1:2
UEFA Europa League
10.12.15	Tottenham Hotspur - Monaco	4:1
01.10.15	Monaco - Tottenham Hotspur	1:1
Club Friendly
03.08.13	Monaco - Tottenham Hotspur	5:2

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