Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 5

Date: 21 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Stade Louis II (Monaco)

Referee: Frappart S. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 2
Albania	SuperSport 3
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Austria	DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4
Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Caze TV
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN France, Ligue 1+ 6, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	ART Sport 3
Mexico	Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV, Fox Sports
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Portugal	Sport TV3
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 1
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 4
South-korea	Coupang Play
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 5
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Ligue 1 Pass
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+


	Monaco		Metz

	1	X	2
	1.33	6	7	Watch
	1.31	5.85	8.2
	1.34	5.99	8.65
	1.30	5.78	8.12	Watch
	1.4	5.84	7.75	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↑ (1.27)	5.89 ↓ (6.32)	7.94 ↓ (9.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Monaco
71.7%

Draw
16.3%

Metz
12.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

75%

15.1%

9.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Monaco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Metz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.4%	13.6%	0%

Monaco - Metz Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

EH -1 - Monaco (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -1.75 - Monaco (2.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Monaco will win (19 of 21 users predict this - 90.48%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.93% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Monaco will win (6 of 8 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Monaco (votes: 8 - 80%). Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Kohn P. (G) 5. Kehrer T. (C) 4. Teze J. 3. Dier E. 20. Ouattara K. 11. Akliouche M. 23. Bamba A. 15. Camara L. 18. Minamino T. 14. Biereth M. 29. Brunner P.	1. Fischer J. (G) 39. Kouao K. 2. Colin M. 5. Gbamin J. 15. Yegbe T. 97. Ballo-Toure F. 20. Deminguet J. 21. Stambouli B. 10. Hein G. (C) 14. Sabaly C. 30. Diallo H.
Substitutes
9. Balogun F. 12. Caio Henrique 28. Coulibaly M. 27. Diatta K. 31. Fati A. 17. Idumbo S. 19. Ilenikhena G. 50. Lienard Y. (G) 22. Salisu M.	9. Abuashvili G. 19. Bokele Mputu M. 29. Guerti I. 24. Madjo B. 25. Melieres C. 23. Sane I. 61. Sy P. (G) 12. Toure A. 7. Tsitaishvili G.
Coaches
Hutter A.	Le Mignan S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Diallo H. ⚽, Sabaly C. (A),
28', 1 - 1, Biereth M. ⚽, Minamino T. (A),
33', Bamba A. ↓, Diatta K. ↑,
43', Teze J. 🟨,
2nd Half (4 - 1)
46', Brunner P. ↓, Fati A. ↑,
46', 2 - 1, Fati A. ⚽, Camara L. (A),
67', 2 - 2, Hein G. (Pen),
68', Biereth M. ↓, Ilenikhena G. ↑,
75', Deminguet J. ↓, Guerti I. ↑,
75', Ballo-Toure F. ↓, Toure A. ↑,
79', Minamino T. ↓, Idumbo S. ↑,
79', Ouattara K. ↓, Caio Henrique ↑,
83', 3 - 2, Fati A. ⚽, Diatta K. (A),
86', 4 - 2, Kouao K. (Own goal),
90', Stambouli B. ↓, Tsitaishvili G. ↑,
90', Kouao K. ↓, Bokele Mputu M. ↑,
90+3', 5 - 2, Ilenikhena G. ⚽, Idumbo S. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Monaco won 5.

Recent performances by Monaco have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Metz's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Metz may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Monaco is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Monaco: Golovin A. (Muscle Injury) Hradecky L. (Knee Injury) Pogba P. (Lacking Match Fitness) Zakaria D. (Groin Injury)

There will not play in Metz: Mbaye M. (Foot Injury) Mboula U. (Hamstring Injury) Sane S. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Monaco: Mawissa C. (Injury) Salisu M. (Knock)

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Monaco won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 41:11. (average 2.4:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Monaco won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 22:5. (average 2.4:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Monaco
UEFA Champions League
18.09.25	Club Brugge - Monaco	4:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
13.09.25	Auxerre - Monaco	1:2 ✺
31.08.25	Monaco - Strasbourg	3:2 ✺
24.08.25	Lille - Monaco	1:0 ✺
16.08.25	Monaco - Le Havre	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWWLW
- FC Metz
French Ligue 1
14.09.25	Metz - Angers	1:1 ✺
31.08.25	Paris FC - Metz	3:2 ✺
23.08.25	Lyon - Metz	3:0 ✺
17.08.25	Metz - Strasbourg	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.25	Troyes - Metz	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
30.03.24	Metz - Monaco	2:5
22.10.23	Monaco - Metz	2:1
03.04.22	Metz - Monaco	1:2
05.12.21	Monaco - Metz	4:0
Coupe De France
06.04.21	Monaco - Metz	1:0 penalties
French Ligue 1
03.04.21	Monaco - Metz	4:0
30.08.20	Metz - Monaco	0:1

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