Match Info

Premier League - Round 5

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Tottenham Hotspur Stadium (London)

Referee: Barrott S. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Canal+, DStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	SuperSport 3
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
Asia	beIN Arabia, beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 1, Star Sports 3 Asia, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria Premier League
Azerbaijan	Idman TV, Setanta Sports 1
Bangladesh	Toffee Live
Belgium	Play Sports 1
Bolivia	ESPN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 2 DRM, fubo Sports Network, FuboTV
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport, Oneplay
Denmark	Amazon Prime Video
Ecuador	ESPN
Estonia	Go3 Extra Sports
Europe	Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	CANAL+ Foot, CANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 6, CANAL+ Sport
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Premier League, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports Premier League
Haiti	Canal+ Sport 2
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Premier League 1, Now Sports Premier League TV
Hungary	TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	SÝN Sport
India	Disney+ Hotstar, JioStar, JioTV app, Star Sports 3, Star Sports Select 1
Indonesia	Vidio
Israel	Sport 1
Italy	SKY Go Italia
Japan	U-NEXT
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Lithuania	Go3 Extra Sports
Malaysia	Astro Go, Astro Grandstand, Astro Premier League, Canal+ Sport 1, Sooka
Maldives	Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 2
Mexico	FOX+, FOX One
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Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
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Netherlands	Amazon Prime Video, Viaplay
New-zealand	SKY Go NZ, Sky Sport 8, Sky Sport Premier League
Nigeria	Supersport Maximo 1, Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 1
Paraguay	ESPN
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Philippines	Setanta Sports
Poland	Canal+ Extra 1
Portugal	DAZN 1, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	Voyo
Serbia	Arena Premium 1, Arena Premium 2
Singapore	Hub Premier 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
South-africa	Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN 1 Bar Espana, DAZN 1 Espana, DAZN Espana
Suriname	SCCN
Sweden	Amazon Prime Video
Switzerland	Sky Sport Premier League, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 2
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 1
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Digiturk
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports
United-kingdom	HBO Max, SpursPlay, TNT Sports 1, TNT Sports Ultimate
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	FuboTV, NBC Universo, NBC, SiriusXM FC, Telemundo, UNIVERSO NOW, USA Network
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN
Vietnam	FPT Play


	Tottenham Hotspur		Aston Villa

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.75	3.90
	1.85	3.90	3.80
	1.87	3.80	3.95
	1.93	3.85	4.10
	2.01	3.75	3.62	Watch
	1.89	3.75	4.05
	1.89	3.83	3.98	Watch
	1.88	3.95	3.90
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (1.99)	3.82 ↑ (3.67)	3.91 ↑ (3.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.25

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tottenham Hotspur
50.5%

Draw
25%

Aston Villa
24.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.9%

25.9%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8%

24.8%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tottenham Hotspur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Aston Villa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tottenham Hotspur than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
32.3%	54.8%	12.9%

Tottenham Hotspur - Aston Villa Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Tottenham will win (votes: 10 - 34.5%). Aston Villa will win (votes: 3 - 10.3%). It will Tie (votes: 16 - 55.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 37.1% – 73.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Tottenham (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

New Consensus by Tipsters:

BTTS - yes (1.62) (votes: 88%) ⭐ Best Value.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Kinsky A. (G) 23. Porro P. 6. van Hecke J. P. 37. van de Ven M. (C) 3. Robertson A. 30. Bentancur R. 16. Tonali S. 17. Sávio 18. Fernandes M. 22. Marmoush O. 19. Solanke D.	1. Suzuki Z. (G) 29. Wan-Bissaka A. 3. Lindelof V. 5. Mings T. 13. Ruggeri M. 8. Kamara B. 35. Joao Gomes 7. McGinn J. (C) 44. Manzambi J. 10. Buendia E. 11. Jackson N.
Substitutes
4. Adarabioyo T. 15. Bergvall L. 39. Dubravka M. (G) 8. Gallagher C. 14. Gray A. 20. Kudus M. 10. Maddison J. 5. Senesi M. 13. Udogie D.	18. Abraham T. 6. Barkley R. 26. Bogarde L. 2. Cash M. 17. Garnacho A. 4. Harwood-Bellis T. 53. Hemmings G. 19. Mbaye I. 42. Wright J. (G)
Coaches
De Zerbi R.	Emery U.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
19', Porro P. ↓, Gray A. ↑,
45+4', 0 - 1, Manzambi J. ⚽, Kamara B. (A),
45+7', van Hecke J. P. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Fernandes M. ↓, Kudus M. ↑,
46', Jackson N. 🟨,
46', Wan-Bissaka A. ↓, Cash M. ↑,
66', Solanke D. ↓, Maddison J. ↑,
67', 0 - 2, Jackson N. ⚽, Manzambi J. (A),
73', Manzambi J. ↓, Hemmings G. ↑,
79', 0 - 3, Buendia E. ⚽, McGinn J. (A),
84', McGinn J. ↓, Barkley R. ↑,
84', Kamara B. ↓, Mbaye I. ↑,
85', Bentancur R. ↓, Bergvall L. ↑,
85', Tonali S. ↓, Gallagher C. ↑,
86', 1 - 3, Gallagher C. ⚽, Kudus M. (A),
88', Jackson N. ↓, Abraham T. ↑,
90+3', Cash M. 🟨,
90+8', 2 - 3, van Hecke J. P. ⚽, Robertson A. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tottenham won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Tottenham could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Tottenham is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

Confirmed absences for Tottenham: Kulusevski D. (Knee Injury) Mudryk M. (Ankle Injury) Odobert W. (Knee Injury) Richarlison (Inactive) Simons X. (Knee Injury).

Confirmed absences for Aston Villa: Goretzka L. (Knee Injury) Maatsen I. (Ankle Injury) Madjo B. (Ankle Injury) Onana A. (Knee Injury) Torres P. (Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Aston Villa: Bizot M. (Back Injury) Cash M. (Injury) Joao Gomes (Calf Injury).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Tottenham has recorded 11 wins, 0 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 37:24 (averaging 1.9:1.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Tottenham against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with 18:15 goals (averaging 1.6:1.4 per game).

Outrights of English Premier League for now

Tottenham: 0.76% Aston Villa: 0.7%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Aston Villa	5	1	1	3	4:9	-5	4
20	Tottenham	5	0	2	3	2:8	-6	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tottenham Hotspur
English League Cup
15.09.26	Liverpool - Tottenham Hotspur	3:1 ✺
English Premier League
12.09.26	Tottenham Hotspur - Everton	0:0 ✺
05.09.26	Nottingham Forest - Tottenham Hotspur	0:0 ✺
29.08.26	Tottenham Hotspur - Newcastle United	0:2 ✺
English League Cup
26.08.26	Tottenham Hotspur - Charlton Athletic	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LTTLW
- Aston Villa
English League Cup
16.09.26	Coventry City - Aston Villa	1:3 ✺
English Premier League
12.09.26	Aston Villa - Nottingham Forest	1:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
08.09.26	Club Brugge - Aston Villa	2:3 ✺
English Premier League
05.09.26	Hull City - Aston Villa	0:0 ✺
31.08.26	Aston Villa - Arsenal	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
03.05.26	Aston Villa - Tottenham Hotspur	1:2
English FA Cup
10.01.26	Tottenham Hotspur - Aston Villa	1:2
English Premier League
19.10.25	Tottenham Hotspur - Aston Villa	1:2
16.05.25	Aston Villa - Tottenham Hotspur	2:0
English FA Cup
09.02.25	Aston Villa - Tottenham Hotspur	2:1
English Premier League
03.11.24	Tottenham Hotspur - Aston Villa	4:1
10.03.24	Aston Villa - Tottenham Hotspur	0:4

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