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Current Win Probability
Lyon 74.1%
Draw 15.8%
Troyes 10.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
69.5%
18.1%
12.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lyon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
Troyes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
87.5%
5.8%
6.7%
Lyon - Troyes Predictions
Users Predictions:
Lyon will win
(91 of 104 users predict this - 87.5%). Confidence interval (95%): 81.14% – 93.86%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Preview
Lyon has the most likely position - 2 (14.93%), has project points - 64, has currently - 4, has a very small chance of relegated (2%), has a chance of qualify for ucl (32%), has a very small chance of win league (4%).
Troyes has the most likely position - 20 (14.72%), has project points - 39, has currently - 0, has a chance of relegated (47%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has quality60, importance44, match rating52. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Lyon won 5.
Recent matches Lyon is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Troyes is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Troyes could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently opponents have a series of guest games.
In this match Lyon is the unquestionable favorite.
There will not play in Lyon: Aouar H.
(Coach's decision)
Boateng J.
(Injury)
Diomande S.
(Injury)
Lopes A.
(Red Card)
There will not play in Troyes: Azamoum K.
(Knee Injury)
Bruus A.
(Injury)
Conte A.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Lyon: Dembele M.
(Injury)
Last 9 head-to-head matches Lyon won 9 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 25-5.
Including matches at home between the teams Lyon won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 16-4.