Match Info

Date: 8 December 2020, Tuesday


	Monagas		Gran Valencia

	1	X	2
	1.22	5.5	7.75
	1.16	5.4	12
	1.3	4.74	6.32
	1.2	5.5	12
	1.23	6	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.22 ↓ (1.83)	5.43 ↑ (3.43)	9.81 ↑ (3.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Monagas
74.1%

Draw
16.7%

Gran Valencia
9.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

26.5%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35%

18.6%

33.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Monagas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+24.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Monagas's performance.

Gran Valencia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gran Valencia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monagas than the current prediction. (-39.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Monagas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gran Valencia than the current prediction. (+24.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gran Valencia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.3%	13.2%	10.5%

Monagas - Gran Valencia Predictions

Users Predictions: 38 users predict this event. Monagas will win (votes: 29 - 76.3%). Gran Valencia will win (votes: 4 - 10.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 13.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Monagas: 62.8% – 89.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 8 and 6).

Monagas is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Gran Valencia is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Monagas is indisputable favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Monagas won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Monagas won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Monagas SC
Venezuelan Primera Division
03.12.20	Portuguesa - Monagas	3:2 ✺
30.11.20	Aragua - Monagas	3:2 ✺
26.11.20	Monagas - Caracas	1:2 ✺
22.11.20	Monagas - Zamora	1:0 ✺
19.11.20	Deportivo Táchira - Monagas	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLLWL
- Gran Valencia FC
Venezuelan Primera Division
03.12.20	Gran Valencia - Zamora	1:0 ✺
30.11.20	Metropolitanos - Gran Valencia	4:2 ✺
27.11.20	Gran Valencia - Aragua	0:2 ✺
23.11.20	Caracas - Gran Valencia	6:2 ✺
20.11.20	Gran Valencia - Portuguesa	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Venezuelan Primera Division
13.11.20	Gran Valencia - Monagas	2:1
08.03.20	Monagas - Gran Valencia	3:0
Copa Venezuela
06.07.16	Monagas - Gran Valencia	6:0
28.06.16	Gran Valencia - Monagas	0:4

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